Green Plains Renewable Stock Market Value
| GPRE Stock | USD 13.70 0.22 1.58% |
| Symbol | Green |
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could Green diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Plains. Market participants price Green higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Green Plains data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | Earnings Share (1.80) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) | Return On Assets |
Understanding Green Plains Renewable requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Green's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Green Plains' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Green Plains' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Green Plains' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Green Plains is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Green Plains' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Green Plains 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Green Plains' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Green Plains.
| 11/19/2025 |
| 02/17/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Green Plains on November 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Green Plains Renewable or generate 0.0% return on investment in Green Plains over 90 days. Green Plains is related to or competes with Lightwave Logic, Gevo, Westlake Chemical, Compass Minerals, Oil Dri, Kronos Worldwide, and Koppers Holdings. Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally More
Green Plains Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Green Plains' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Green Plains Renewable upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1436 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.59 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.05) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.84 |
Green Plains Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Green Plains' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Green Plains' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Green Plains historical prices to predict the future Green Plains' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1397 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4847 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3033 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1535 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4261 |
Green Plains February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
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| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1397 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4361 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.74 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.88 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.28 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 611.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.51 | |||
| Variance | 12.32 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1436 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4847 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3033 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1535 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4261 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 19.59 | |||
| Value At Risk | (5.05) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.84 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.79 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.06) | |||
| Skewness | (0.05) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.6773 |
Green Plains Renewable Backtested Returns
Green Plains appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Green Plains Renewable holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.17, which attests that the entity had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating Green Plains' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.58% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Green Plains' Downside Deviation of 3.28, risk adjusted performance of 0.1397, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4361 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Green Plains holds a performance score of 13. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.32, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Green Plains will likely underperform. Please check Green Plains' downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Green Plains' current trending patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.12 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
Green Plains Renewable has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Green Plains time series from 19th of November 2025 to 3rd of January 2026 and 3rd of January 2026 to 17th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Green Plains Renewable price movement. The serial correlation of -0.12 indicates that less than 12.0% of current Green Plains price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.12 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.32 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.14 |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Green Plains Renewable is a strong investment it is important to analyze Green Plains' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Green Plains' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Green Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Green Plains Correlation, Green Plains Volatility and Green Plains Performance module to complement your research on Green Plains. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Green Plains technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.