Global Power (Thailand) Market Value

GPSC Stock  THB 43.50  0.75  1.75%   
Global Power's market value is the price at which a share of Global Power trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Global Power Synergy investors about its performance. Global Power is selling for 43.50 as of the 23rd of November 2024. This is a 1.75 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 42.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Global Power Synergy and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Global Power over a given investment horizon. Check out Global Power Correlation, Global Power Volatility and Global Power Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Global Power.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Power's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Power is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Power's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Global Power 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Global Power's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Global Power.
0.00
12/04/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Global Power on December 4, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Global Power Synergy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Global Power over 720 days. Global Power is related to or competes with Gulf Energy, Energy Absolute, BGrimm Power, CP ALL, and Airports. Global Power Synergy Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production and distribution ... More

Global Power Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Global Power's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Global Power Synergy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Global Power Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Global Power's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Global Power's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Global Power historical prices to predict the future Global Power's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.5243.5045.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.0036.9847.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.5345.5147.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.7744.0849.39
Details

Global Power Synergy Backtested Returns

As of now, Global Stock is very steady. Global Power Synergy holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0599, which attests that the entity had a 0.0599% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Global Power Synergy, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Global Power's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0692, market risk adjusted performance of 1.09, and Downside Deviation of 2.27 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. Global Power has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.14, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Global Power's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Global Power is expected to be smaller as well. Global Power Synergy right now retains a risk of 1.97%. Please check out Global Power jensen alpha, sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Global Power will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

Global Power Synergy has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Global Power time series from 4th of December 2022 to 29th of November 2023 and 29th of November 2023 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Global Power Synergy price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Global Power price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance21.52

Global Power Synergy lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Global Power stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Global Power's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Global Power returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Global Power has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Global Power regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Global Power stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Global Power stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Global Power stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Global Power Lagged Returns

When evaluating Global Power's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Global Power stock have on its future price. Global Power autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Global Power autocorrelation shows the relationship between Global Power stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Global Power Synergy.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Global Stock

Global Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Power security.