Grasim Industries (India) Market Value

GRASIM Stock   2,714  20.45  0.76%   
Grasim Industries' market value is the price at which a share of Grasim Industries trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Grasim Industries Limited investors about its performance. Grasim Industries is trading at 2714.00 as of the 4th of December 2024, a 0.76 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 2693.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Grasim Industries Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Grasim Industries over a given investment horizon. Check out Grasim Industries Correlation, Grasim Industries Volatility and Grasim Industries Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Grasim Industries.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Grasim Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grasim Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grasim Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Grasim Industries 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Grasim Industries' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Grasim Industries.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Grasim Industries on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Grasim Industries Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Grasim Industries over 30 days. Grasim Industries is related to or competes with Total Transport, Sonata Software, EMBASSY OFFICE, Transport, Praxis Home, and Tree House. Grasim Industries is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Grasim Industries Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Grasim Industries' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Grasim Industries Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Grasim Industries Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Grasim Industries' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Grasim Industries' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Grasim Industries historical prices to predict the future Grasim Industries' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,7132,7142,716
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,6822,6832,985
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,7742,7752,777
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
25.7529.4331.43
Details

Grasim Industries Backtested Returns

Grasim Industries holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0038, which attests that the entity had a -0.0038% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Grasim Industries exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Grasim Industries' market risk adjusted performance of 0.0418, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0146 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.28, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Grasim Industries' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Grasim Industries is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Grasim Industries has a negative expected return of -0.0056%. Please make sure to check out Grasim Industries' value at risk, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and expected short fall , to decide if Grasim Industries performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.75  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Grasim Industries Limited has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Grasim Industries time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Grasim Industries price movement. The serial correlation of -0.75 indicates that around 75.0% of current Grasim Industries price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.75
Spearman Rank Test-0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4131.07

Grasim Industries lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Grasim Industries stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Grasim Industries' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Grasim Industries returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Grasim Industries has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Grasim Industries regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Grasim Industries stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Grasim Industries stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Grasim Industries stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Grasim Industries Lagged Returns

When evaluating Grasim Industries' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Grasim Industries stock have on its future price. Grasim Industries autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Grasim Industries autocorrelation shows the relationship between Grasim Industries stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Grasim Industries Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Grasim Stock

Grasim Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grasim Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grasim with respect to the benefits of owning Grasim Industries security.