Gamco Global Telecommunications Fund Market Value

GTCAX Fund  USD 23.65  0.11  0.47%   
Gamco Global's market value is the price at which a share of Gamco Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gamco Global Telecommunications investors about its performance. Gamco Global is trading at 23.65 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.47% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 23.54.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gamco Global Telecommunications and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gamco Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Gamco Global Correlation, Gamco Global Volatility and Gamco Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gamco Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gamco Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gamco Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gamco Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gamco Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gamco Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gamco Global.
0.00
05/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gamco Global on May 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gamco Global Telecommunications or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gamco Global over 180 days. Gamco Global is related to or competes with Barings Emerging, Federated Emerging, Vanguard Emerging, T Rowe, Rbc Emerging, and Angel Oak. The fund will invest its net assets in common stocks of companies in the telecommunications, media, and information tech... More

Gamco Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gamco Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gamco Global Telecommunications upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gamco Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gamco Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gamco Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gamco Global historical prices to predict the future Gamco Global's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.8923.5424.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.6723.3223.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.7623.4124.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.1823.4423.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gamco Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gamco Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gamco Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gamco Global Telecom.

Gamco Global Telecom Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Gamco Mutual Fund to be very steady. Gamco Global Telecom holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.18, which attests that the entity had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Gamco Global Telecom, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Gamco Global's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1125, downside deviation of 0.6217, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1978 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.46, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Gamco Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gamco Global is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.29  

Poor predictability

Gamco Global Telecommunications has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gamco Global time series from 31st of May 2024 to 29th of August 2024 and 29th of August 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gamco Global Telecom price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Gamco Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.29
Spearman Rank Test0.32
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.24

Gamco Global Telecom lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gamco Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gamco Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gamco Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gamco Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gamco Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gamco Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gamco Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gamco Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gamco Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gamco Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gamco Global mutual fund have on its future price. Gamco Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gamco Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gamco Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gamco Global Telecommunications.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gamco Mutual Fund

Gamco Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gamco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gamco with respect to the benefits of owning Gamco Global security.
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