Georgia Tax Free Bond Fund Market Value

GTFBX Fund  USD 11.02  0.04  0.36%   
Georgia Tax-free's market value is the price at which a share of Georgia Tax-free trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Georgia Tax Free Bond investors about its performance. Georgia Tax-free is trading at 11.02 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.36 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.98.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Georgia Tax Free Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Georgia Tax-free over a given investment horizon. Check out Georgia Tax-free Correlation, Georgia Tax-free Volatility and Georgia Tax-free Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Georgia Tax-free.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Georgia Tax-free's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Georgia Tax-free is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Georgia Tax-free's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Georgia Tax-free 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Georgia Tax-free's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Georgia Tax-free.
0.00
07/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 26 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Georgia Tax-free on July 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Georgia Tax Free Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Georgia Tax-free over 510 days. Georgia Tax-free is related to or competes with New Jersey, Maryland Tax, New York, Virginia Tax-free, and Maryland Short-term. The fund invests so that, under normal market conditions, at least 80 percent of its net assets are invested in bonds th... More

Georgia Tax-free Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Georgia Tax-free's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Georgia Tax Free Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Georgia Tax-free Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Georgia Tax-free's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Georgia Tax-free's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Georgia Tax-free historical prices to predict the future Georgia Tax-free's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7311.0211.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2810.5712.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.7211.0111.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.9310.9711.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Georgia Tax-free. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Georgia Tax-free's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Georgia Tax-free's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Georgia Tax Free.

Georgia Tax Free Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Georgia Mutual Fund to be very steady. Georgia Tax Free holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0618, which attests that the entity had a 0.0618% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Georgia Tax Free, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Georgia Tax-free's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), risk adjusted performance of 0.0214, and Downside Deviation of 0.3879 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0178%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.1, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Georgia Tax-free are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Georgia Tax-free is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

Georgia Tax Free Bond has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Georgia Tax-free time series from 5th of July 2023 to 16th of March 2024 and 16th of March 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Georgia Tax Free price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Georgia Tax-free price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Georgia Tax Free lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Georgia Tax-free mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Georgia Tax-free's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Georgia Tax-free returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Georgia Tax-free has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Georgia Tax-free regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Georgia Tax-free mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Georgia Tax-free mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Georgia Tax-free mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Georgia Tax-free Lagged Returns

When evaluating Georgia Tax-free's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Georgia Tax-free mutual fund have on its future price. Georgia Tax-free autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Georgia Tax-free autocorrelation shows the relationship between Georgia Tax-free mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Georgia Tax Free Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Georgia Mutual Fund

Georgia Tax-free financial ratios help investors to determine whether Georgia Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Georgia with respect to the benefits of owning Georgia Tax-free security.
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