Gotham Total Return Fund Market Value

GTRFX Fund  USD 14.78  0.04  0.27%   
Gotham Total's market value is the price at which a share of Gotham Total trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Gotham Total Return investors about its performance. Gotham Total is trading at 14.78 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 0.27 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 14.82.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Gotham Total Return and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Gotham Total over a given investment horizon. Check out Gotham Total Correlation, Gotham Total Volatility and Gotham Total Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Gotham Total.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Gotham Total's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gotham Total is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gotham Total's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Gotham Total 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gotham Total's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gotham Total.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Gotham Total on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gotham Total Return or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gotham Total over 720 days. Gotham Total is related to or competes with Gotham Neutral, Gotham Index, Gotham Absolute, Gotham Large, and Gotham Enhanced. The advisor intends to allocate the majority of its assets among mutual funds advised by Gotham More

Gotham Total Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gotham Total's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gotham Total Return upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Gotham Total Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gotham Total's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gotham Total's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gotham Total historical prices to predict the future Gotham Total's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.1914.7815.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0614.6515.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.1414.7315.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.3614.6214.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Gotham Total. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Gotham Total's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Gotham Total's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Gotham Total Return.

Gotham Total Return Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Gotham Mutual Fund to be very steady. Gotham Total Return holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.12, which attests that the entity had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Gotham Total Return, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Gotham Total's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1245, downside deviation of 0.5673, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1077 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.072%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.65, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Gotham Total's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gotham Total is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Gotham Total Return has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gotham Total time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gotham Total Return price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Gotham Total price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.53

Gotham Total Return lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Gotham Total mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gotham Total's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gotham Total returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gotham Total has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Gotham Total regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gotham Total mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gotham Total mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gotham Total mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Gotham Total Lagged Returns

When evaluating Gotham Total's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gotham Total mutual fund have on its future price. Gotham Total autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gotham Total autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gotham Total mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gotham Total Return.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Gotham Mutual Fund

Gotham Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gotham Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gotham with respect to the benefits of owning Gotham Total security.
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