Guggenheim Risk Managed Fund Market Value

GURPX Fund  USD 34.49  0.22  0.64%   
Guggenheim Risk's market value is the price at which a share of Guggenheim Risk trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Guggenheim Risk Managed investors about its performance. Guggenheim Risk is trading at 34.49 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.64% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 34.27.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Guggenheim Risk Managed and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Guggenheim Risk over a given investment horizon. Check out Guggenheim Risk Correlation, Guggenheim Risk Volatility and Guggenheim Risk Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Guggenheim Risk.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Guggenheim Risk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guggenheim Risk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guggenheim Risk's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Guggenheim Risk 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guggenheim Risk's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guggenheim Risk.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Guggenheim Risk on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guggenheim Risk Managed or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guggenheim Risk over 30 days. Guggenheim Risk is related to or competes with Guggenheim Risk, Guggenheim Risk, Guggenheim Risk, Lazard Global, and Baron Real. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its assets in long and short equity securities of issuers primarily engaged in the real estate industry, such as real estate investment trusts and equity-like securities, including individual securities, exchange-traded funds and derivatives, giving exposure to issuers primarily engaged in the real estate industry. More

Guggenheim Risk Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guggenheim Risk's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guggenheim Risk Managed upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Guggenheim Risk Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guggenheim Risk's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guggenheim Risk's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guggenheim Risk historical prices to predict the future Guggenheim Risk's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.7634.4835.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.7034.4235.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.7234.4435.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.6434.2334.83
Details

Guggenheim Risk Managed Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Guggenheim Mutual Fund to be very steady. Guggenheim Risk Managed holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.054, which attests that the entity had a 0.054% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Guggenheim Risk Managed, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Guggenheim Risk's Downside Deviation of 0.7116, market risk adjusted performance of 0.5417, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0696 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0394%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.11, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Guggenheim Risk's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guggenheim Risk is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

Guggenheim Risk Managed has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guggenheim Risk time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guggenheim Risk Managed price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Guggenheim Risk price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test-0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Guggenheim Risk Managed lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Guggenheim Risk mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guggenheim Risk's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guggenheim Risk returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guggenheim Risk has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Guggenheim Risk regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guggenheim Risk mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guggenheim Risk mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guggenheim Risk mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Guggenheim Risk Lagged Returns

When evaluating Guggenheim Risk's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guggenheim Risk mutual fund have on its future price. Guggenheim Risk autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guggenheim Risk autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guggenheim Risk mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guggenheim Risk Managed.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Guggenheim Mutual Fund

Guggenheim Risk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guggenheim Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guggenheim with respect to the benefits of owning Guggenheim Risk security.
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