The Gabelli Val Fund Market Value
| GVCIX Fund | USD 10.37 0.07 0.67% |
| Symbol | Gabelli |
Gabelli Val 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gabelli Val's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gabelli Val.
| 02/07/2024 |
| 02/01/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Gabelli Val on February 7, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding The Gabelli Val or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gabelli Val over 360 days. Gabelli Val is related to or competes with Rational Defensive, Artisan Small, Upright Growth, L Abbett, Vanguard Growth, Pnc International, and Growth Portfolio. The fund invests primarily in equity securities of companies that the Adviser believes are undervalued and have the pote... More
Gabelli Val Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gabelli Val's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess The Gabelli Val upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.81 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.25 |
Gabelli Val Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gabelli Val's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gabelli Val's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gabelli Val historical prices to predict the future Gabelli Val's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.0009) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.03) |
Gabelli Val Backtested Returns
Gabelli Val holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of close to zero, which attests that the entity had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Gabelli Val exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Gabelli Val's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.0009), standard deviation of 1.2, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.55, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Gabelli Val's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gabelli Val is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.21 |
Weak reverse predictability
The Gabelli Val has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gabelli Val time series from 7th of February 2024 to 5th of August 2024 and 5th of August 2024 to 1st of February 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gabelli Val price movement. The serial correlation of -0.21 indicates that over 21.0% of current Gabelli Val price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.21 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.02 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.14 |
Gabelli Val lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Gabelli Val mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gabelli Val's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gabelli Val returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gabelli Val has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Gabelli Val regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gabelli Val mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gabelli Val mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gabelli Val mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Gabelli Val Lagged Returns
When evaluating Gabelli Val's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gabelli Val mutual fund have on its future price. Gabelli Val autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gabelli Val autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gabelli Val mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in The Gabelli Val.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Mutual Fund
Gabelli Val financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Val security.
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