Amg Gwk Smallmid Fund Market Value

GWGVX Fund  USD 20.12  0.38  1.93%   
Amg Gwk's market value is the price at which a share of Amg Gwk trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Amg Gwk Smallmid investors about its performance. Amg Gwk is trading at 20.12 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 1.93% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 19.74.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Amg Gwk Smallmid and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Amg Gwk over a given investment horizon. Check out Amg Gwk Correlation, Amg Gwk Volatility and Amg Gwk Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Amg Gwk.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Amg Gwk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amg Gwk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amg Gwk's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Amg Gwk 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Amg Gwk's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Amg Gwk.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Amg Gwk on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Amg Gwk Smallmid or generate 0.0% return on investment in Amg Gwk over 360 days. Amg Gwk is related to or competes with Usaa Mutual. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings fo... More

Amg Gwk Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Amg Gwk's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Amg Gwk Smallmid upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Amg Gwk Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Amg Gwk's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Amg Gwk's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Amg Gwk historical prices to predict the future Amg Gwk's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amg Gwk's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.0420.1221.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.2218.3022.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.4119.4920.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.1819.4320.67
Details

Amg Gwk Smallmid Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Amg Mutual Fund to be very steady. Amg Gwk Smallmid secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Amg Gwk Smallmid, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Amg Gwk's mean deviation of 0.7632, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0921 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.25, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Amg Gwk will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.60  

Good predictability

Amg Gwk Smallmid has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Amg Gwk time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Amg Gwk Smallmid price movement. The serial correlation of 0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Amg Gwk price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.6
Spearman Rank Test0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.49

Amg Gwk Smallmid lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Amg Gwk mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Amg Gwk's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Amg Gwk returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Amg Gwk has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Amg Gwk regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Amg Gwk mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Amg Gwk mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Amg Gwk mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Amg Gwk Lagged Returns

When evaluating Amg Gwk's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Amg Gwk mutual fund have on its future price. Amg Gwk autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Amg Gwk autocorrelation shows the relationship between Amg Gwk mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Amg Gwk Smallmid.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Amg Mutual Fund

Amg Gwk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amg with respect to the benefits of owning Amg Gwk security.
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