Amg Gwk Municipal Fund Market Value

GWMIX Fund  USD 11.41  0.02  0.18%   
Amg Gwk's market value is the price at which a share of Amg Gwk trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Amg Gwk Municipal investors about its performance. Amg Gwk is trading at 11.41 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.18 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.39.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Amg Gwk Municipal and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Amg Gwk over a given investment horizon. Check out Amg Gwk Correlation, Amg Gwk Volatility and Amg Gwk Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Amg Gwk.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Amg Gwk's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amg Gwk is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amg Gwk's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Amg Gwk 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Amg Gwk's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Amg Gwk.
0.00
10/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Amg Gwk on October 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Amg Gwk Municipal or generate 0.0% return on investment in Amg Gwk over 30 days. Amg Gwk is related to or competes with Morningstar Aggressive, T Rowe, Lgm Risk, Metropolitan West, Artisan High, Pace High, and Western Asset. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, in mu... More

Amg Gwk Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Amg Gwk's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Amg Gwk Municipal upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Amg Gwk Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Amg Gwk's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Amg Gwk's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Amg Gwk historical prices to predict the future Amg Gwk's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.1811.4111.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.7210.9512.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.2211.4511.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2611.3511.44
Details

Amg Gwk Municipal Backtested Returns

Amg Gwk Municipal secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0048, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0048% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Amg Gwk Municipal exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Amg Gwk's risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Mean Deviation of 0.13 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0842, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Amg Gwk are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Amg Gwk is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

Amg Gwk Municipal has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Amg Gwk time series from 23rd of October 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Amg Gwk Municipal price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Amg Gwk price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.28
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Amg Gwk Municipal lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Amg Gwk mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Amg Gwk's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Amg Gwk returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Amg Gwk has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Amg Gwk regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Amg Gwk mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Amg Gwk mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Amg Gwk mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Amg Gwk Lagged Returns

When evaluating Amg Gwk's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Amg Gwk mutual fund have on its future price. Amg Gwk autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Amg Gwk autocorrelation shows the relationship between Amg Gwk mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Amg Gwk Municipal.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Amg Mutual Fund

Amg Gwk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amg with respect to the benefits of owning Amg Gwk security.
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