Great West 365 Preferred Stock Market Value

GWO-PN Preferred Stock  CAD 15.22  0.09  0.59%   
Great West's market value is the price at which a share of Great West trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Great West 365 investors about its performance. Great West is trading at 15.22 as of the 30th of November 2024, a 0.59 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's open price was 15.13.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Great West 365 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Great West over a given investment horizon. Check out Great West Correlation, Great West Volatility and Great West Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Great West.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Great West's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Great West is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Great West's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Great West 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Great West's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Great West.
0.00
06/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Great West on June 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Great West 365 or generate 0.0% return on investment in Great West over 180 days. Great West is related to or competes with Manulife Financial, Manulife Fin, Manulife Finl, Great West, Great West, and Great Wes. Great-West Lifeco Inc., a financial services holding company, engages in life and health insurance, asset management, in... More

Great West Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Great West's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Great West 365 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Great West Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Great West's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Great West's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Great West historical prices to predict the future Great West's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.4515.2215.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2315.0015.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.7615.5316.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.4514.9415.43
Details

Great West 365 Backtested Returns

At this point, Great West is very steady. Great West 365 holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0893, which attests that the entity had a 0.0893% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Great West 365, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Great West's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0896, downside deviation of 0.9069, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3308 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.069%. Great West has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.26, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Great West's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Great West is expected to be smaller as well. Great West 365 right now retains a risk of 0.77%. Please check out Great West maximum drawdown, skewness, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and downside variance , to decide if Great West will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.03  

Very weak reverse predictability

Great West 365 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Great West time series from 3rd of June 2024 to 1st of September 2024 and 1st of September 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Great West 365 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current Great West price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.03
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Great West 365 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Great West preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Great West's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Great West returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Great West has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Great West regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Great West preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Great West preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Great West preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Great West Lagged Returns

When evaluating Great West's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Great West preferred stock have on its future price. Great West autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Great West autocorrelation shows the relationship between Great West preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Great West 365.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Great West

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Great West position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Great West will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Great Preferred Stock

  0.4MFC-PC Manulife Finl SrsPairCorr
  0.38MFC-PL Manulife Financial CorpPairCorr
  0.34MFC-PK Manulife Financial CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Great West could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Great West when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Great West - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Great West 365 to buy it.
The correlation of Great West is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Great West moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Great West 365 moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Great West can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Great Preferred Stock

Great West financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great with respect to the benefits of owning Great West security.