Harbor Overseas Fund Market Value

HAOSX Fund  USD 13.53  0.20  1.50%   
Harbor Overseas' market value is the price at which a share of Harbor Overseas trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Harbor Overseas investors about its performance. Harbor Overseas is trading at 13.53 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 1.50 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.33.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Harbor Overseas and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Harbor Overseas over a given investment horizon. Check out Harbor Overseas Correlation, Harbor Overseas Volatility and Harbor Overseas Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Harbor Overseas.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Harbor Overseas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harbor Overseas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harbor Overseas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Harbor Overseas 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Harbor Overseas' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Harbor Overseas.
0.00
09/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Harbor Overseas on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Harbor Overseas or generate 0.0% return on investment in Harbor Overseas over 90 days. Harbor Overseas is related to or competes with Chase Growth, Qs Growth, Pace Small/medium, Smallcap Growth, Qs Moderate, Goldman Sachs, and William Blair. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in a diversified portfolio of non-U.S More

Harbor Overseas Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Harbor Overseas' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Harbor Overseas upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Harbor Overseas Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Harbor Overseas' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Harbor Overseas' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Harbor Overseas historical prices to predict the future Harbor Overseas' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Harbor Overseas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.7813.5714.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.0713.3913.71
Details

Harbor Overseas Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Harbor Mutual Fund to be out of control. Harbor Overseas holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0258, which attests that the entity had a 0.0258% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Harbor Overseas, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Harbor Overseas' Downside Deviation of 0.8586, insignificant market risk adjusted performance, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0029 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0205%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.53, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Harbor Overseas' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Harbor Overseas is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.2  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Harbor Overseas has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Harbor Overseas time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 18th of October 2024 and 18th of October 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Harbor Overseas price movement. The serial correlation of -0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current Harbor Overseas price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.2
Spearman Rank Test-0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Harbor Overseas lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Harbor Overseas mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Harbor Overseas' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Harbor Overseas returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Harbor Overseas has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Harbor Overseas regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Harbor Overseas mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Harbor Overseas mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Harbor Overseas mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Harbor Overseas Lagged Returns

When evaluating Harbor Overseas' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Harbor Overseas mutual fund have on its future price. Harbor Overseas autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Harbor Overseas autocorrelation shows the relationship between Harbor Overseas mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Harbor Overseas.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Harbor Mutual Fund

Harbor Overseas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Harbor Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Harbor with respect to the benefits of owning Harbor Overseas security.
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