Havila Shipping (Norway) Market Value

HAVI Stock  NOK 2.50  0.02  0.79%   
Havila Shipping's market value is the price at which a share of Havila Shipping trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Havila Shipping ASA investors about its performance. Havila Shipping is selling for 2.50 as of the 27th of November 2024. This is a 0.79% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 2.48.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Havila Shipping ASA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Havila Shipping over a given investment horizon. Check out Havila Shipping Correlation, Havila Shipping Volatility and Havila Shipping Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Havila Shipping.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Havila Shipping's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Havila Shipping is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Havila Shipping's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Havila Shipping 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Havila Shipping's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Havila Shipping.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Havila Shipping on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Havila Shipping ASA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Havila Shipping over 30 days. Havila Shipping is related to or competes with Solstad Offsho, Eidesvik Offshore, Prosafe SE, and BW Offshore. Havila Shipping ASA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the shipping business More

Havila Shipping Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Havila Shipping's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Havila Shipping ASA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Havila Shipping Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Havila Shipping's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Havila Shipping's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Havila Shipping historical prices to predict the future Havila Shipping's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.508.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.107.69
Details

Havila Shipping ASA Backtested Returns

Havila Shipping ASA holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.16, which attests that the entity had a -0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Havila Shipping ASA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Havila Shipping's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.11), risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Standard Deviation of 5.57 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.89, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Havila Shipping returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Havila Shipping is expected to follow. At this point, Havila Shipping ASA has a negative expected return of -0.91%. Please make sure to check out Havila Shipping's skewness, accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis , to decide if Havila Shipping ASA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.59  

Modest predictability

Havila Shipping ASA has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Havila Shipping time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Havila Shipping ASA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.59 indicates that roughly 59.0% of current Havila Shipping price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.59
Spearman Rank Test0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Havila Shipping ASA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Havila Shipping stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Havila Shipping's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Havila Shipping returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Havila Shipping has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Havila Shipping regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Havila Shipping stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Havila Shipping stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Havila Shipping stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Havila Shipping Lagged Returns

When evaluating Havila Shipping's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Havila Shipping stock have on its future price. Havila Shipping autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Havila Shipping autocorrelation shows the relationship between Havila Shipping stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Havila Shipping ASA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Havila Stock

Havila Shipping financial ratios help investors to determine whether Havila Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Havila with respect to the benefits of owning Havila Shipping security.