HDFC Asset (India) Market Value

HDFCAMC Stock   4,210  32.15  0.76%   
HDFC Asset's market value is the price at which a share of HDFC Asset trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of HDFC Asset Management investors about its performance. HDFC Asset is trading at 4209.75 as of the 29th of November 2024, a 0.76 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 4241.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of HDFC Asset Management and determine expected loss or profit from investing in HDFC Asset over a given investment horizon. Check out HDFC Asset Correlation, HDFC Asset Volatility and HDFC Asset Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on HDFC Asset.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between HDFC Asset's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HDFC Asset is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HDFC Asset's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

HDFC Asset 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to HDFC Asset's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of HDFC Asset.
0.00
08/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in HDFC Asset on August 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding HDFC Asset Management or generate 0.0% return on investment in HDFC Asset over 90 days. HDFC Asset is related to or competes with MAS Financial, Next Mediaworks, City Union, HT Media, General Insurance, Aban Offshore, and Bharatiya Global. More

HDFC Asset Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure HDFC Asset's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess HDFC Asset Management upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

HDFC Asset Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for HDFC Asset's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as HDFC Asset's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use HDFC Asset historical prices to predict the future HDFC Asset's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,2084,2104,212
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,0394,0414,631
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,2944,2964,298
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,1274,3274,526
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as HDFC Asset. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against HDFC Asset's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, HDFC Asset's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in HDFC Asset Management.

HDFC Asset Management Backtested Returns

HDFC Asset Management holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0325, which attests that the entity had a -0.0325% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. HDFC Asset Management exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out HDFC Asset's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.70), risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Coefficient Of Variation of (2,795) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.1, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, HDFC Asset's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding HDFC Asset is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, HDFC Asset Management has a negative expected return of -0.0581%. Please make sure to check out HDFC Asset's standard deviation, maximum drawdown, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and potential upside , to decide if HDFC Asset Management performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.49  

Average predictability

HDFC Asset Management has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between HDFC Asset time series from 31st of August 2024 to 15th of October 2024 and 15th of October 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of HDFC Asset Management price movement. The serial correlation of 0.49 indicates that about 49.0% of current HDFC Asset price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.49
Spearman Rank Test0.28
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance27.2 K

HDFC Asset Management lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is HDFC Asset stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting HDFC Asset's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of HDFC Asset returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that HDFC Asset has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

HDFC Asset regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If HDFC Asset stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if HDFC Asset stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in HDFC Asset stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

HDFC Asset Lagged Returns

When evaluating HDFC Asset's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of HDFC Asset stock have on its future price. HDFC Asset autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, HDFC Asset autocorrelation shows the relationship between HDFC Asset stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in HDFC Asset Management.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in HDFC Stock

HDFC Asset financial ratios help investors to determine whether HDFC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HDFC with respect to the benefits of owning HDFC Asset security.