First Trust Horizon Etf Market Value
| HDMV Etf | USD 38.53 0.67 1.71% |
| Symbol | First |
First Trust Horizon's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on First's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate First Trust's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Since First Trust's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Trust is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
First Trust 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Trust's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Trust.
| 12/04/2025 |
| 03/04/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Trust on December 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Trust Horizon or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Trust over 90 days. First Trust is related to or competes with WisdomTree High, IShares MSCI, JPMorgan Emerging, IShares MSCI, Columbia, Goldman Sachs, and WisdomTree Total. Under normal market conditions, the fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing at least 80 percent of i... More
First Trust Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Trust's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Trust Horizon upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.5845 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2477 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.04 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.63) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.951 |
First Trust Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Trust's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Trust's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Trust historical prices to predict the future First Trust's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2492 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1678 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1419 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.224 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (79.87) |
First Trust March 4, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2492 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (79.86) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.4022 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2064 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.5845 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 297.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5286 | |||
| Variance | 0.2794 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2477 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1678 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.1419 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.224 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (79.87) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.04 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.63) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.951 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3417 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0426 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.48) | |||
| Skewness | (0.62) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.59 |
First Trust Horizon Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider First Etf to be very steady. First Trust Horizon secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.34, which denotes the etf had a 0.34 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for First Trust Horizon, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm First Trust's Mean Deviation of 0.4022, coefficient of variation of 297.4, and Downside Deviation of 0.5845 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0021, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Trust is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.95 |
Excellent predictability
First Trust Horizon has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Trust time series from 4th of December 2025 to 18th of January 2026 and 18th of January 2026 to 4th of March 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Trust Horizon price movement. The serial correlation of 0.95 indicates that approximately 95.0% of current First Trust price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.95 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.92 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.09 |
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Check out First Trust Correlation, First Trust Volatility and First Trust Performance module to complement your research on First Trust. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
First Trust technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.