Hennessy Total Return Fund Market Value

HDOGX Fund  USD 13.70  0.01  0.07%   
Hennessy Total's market value is the price at which a share of Hennessy Total trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hennessy Total Return investors about its performance. Hennessy Total is trading at 13.70 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.07 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.69.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hennessy Total Return and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hennessy Total over a given investment horizon. Check out Hennessy Total Correlation, Hennessy Total Volatility and Hennessy Total Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hennessy Total.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hennessy Total's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hennessy Total is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hennessy Total's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hennessy Total 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hennessy Total's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hennessy Total.
0.00
05/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hennessy Total on May 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hennessy Total Return or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hennessy Total over 180 days. Hennessy Total is related to or competes with American Balanced, American Balanced, HUMANA, Barloworld, Morningstar Unconstrained, Thrivent High, and High-yield Municipal. The fund invests in the 10 highest dividend-yielding Dow Jones Industrial Average stocks , and in U.S More

Hennessy Total Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hennessy Total's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hennessy Total Return upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hennessy Total Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hennessy Total's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hennessy Total's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hennessy Total historical prices to predict the future Hennessy Total's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1813.7014.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.1613.6814.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.3213.8314.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.2913.5013.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hennessy Total. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hennessy Total's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hennessy Total's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hennessy Total Return.

Hennessy Total Return Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Hennessy Mutual Fund to be very steady. Hennessy Total Return holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0359, which attests that the entity had a 0.0359% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Hennessy Total Return, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Hennessy Total's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0186, downside deviation of 0.5238, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0206 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0185%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.54, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Hennessy Total's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hennessy Total is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.34  

Poor reverse predictability

Hennessy Total Return has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hennessy Total time series from 31st of May 2024 to 29th of August 2024 and 29th of August 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hennessy Total Return price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Hennessy Total price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.34
Spearman Rank Test-0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Hennessy Total Return lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hennessy Total mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hennessy Total's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hennessy Total returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hennessy Total has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hennessy Total regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hennessy Total mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hennessy Total mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hennessy Total mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hennessy Total Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hennessy Total's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hennessy Total mutual fund have on its future price. Hennessy Total autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hennessy Total autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hennessy Total mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hennessy Total Return.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Hennessy Mutual Fund

Hennessy Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hennessy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hennessy with respect to the benefits of owning Hennessy Total security.
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