Catalystsmh High Income Fund Market Value

HIIFX Fund  USD 3.76  0.01  0.27%   
Catalyst/smh High's market value is the price at which a share of Catalyst/smh High trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Catalystsmh High Income investors about its performance. Catalyst/smh High is trading at 3.76 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.27% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 3.77.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Catalystsmh High Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Catalyst/smh High over a given investment horizon. Check out Catalyst/smh High Correlation, Catalyst/smh High Volatility and Catalyst/smh High Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Catalyst/smh High.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Catalyst/smh High's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Catalyst/smh High is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Catalyst/smh High's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Catalyst/smh High 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Catalyst/smh High's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Catalyst/smh High.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Catalyst/smh High on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Catalystsmh High Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Catalyst/smh High over 30 days. Catalyst/smh High is related to or competes with Prudential High, HUMANA, Barloworld, Morningstar Unconstrained, Thrivent High, High-yield Municipal, and Via Renewables. The fund invests in a non-diversified group of low-quality, high yield corporate bonds and convertible securities More

Catalyst/smh High Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Catalyst/smh High's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Catalystsmh High Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Catalyst/smh High Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Catalyst/smh High's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Catalyst/smh High's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Catalyst/smh High historical prices to predict the future Catalyst/smh High's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.523.774.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.203.454.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.523.764.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.673.743.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Catalyst/smh High. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Catalyst/smh High's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Catalyst/smh High's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Catalystsmh High Income.

Catalystsmh High Income Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Catalyst/smh Mutual Fund to be very steady. Catalystsmh High Income secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.22, which signifies that the fund had a 0.22% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Catalystsmh High Income, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Catalyst/smh High's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1322, coefficient of variation of 498.62, and Mean Deviation of 0.1833 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0551%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Catalyst/smh High's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Catalyst/smh High is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.65  

Good predictability

Catalystsmh High Income has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Catalyst/smh High time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Catalystsmh High Income price movement. The serial correlation of 0.65 indicates that roughly 65.0% of current Catalyst/smh High price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.65
Spearman Rank Test0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Catalystsmh High Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Catalyst/smh High mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Catalyst/smh High's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Catalyst/smh High returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Catalyst/smh High has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Catalyst/smh High regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Catalyst/smh High mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Catalyst/smh High mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Catalyst/smh High mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Catalyst/smh High Lagged Returns

When evaluating Catalyst/smh High's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Catalyst/smh High mutual fund have on its future price. Catalyst/smh High autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Catalyst/smh High autocorrelation shows the relationship between Catalyst/smh High mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Catalystsmh High Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Catalyst/smh Mutual Fund

Catalyst/smh High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Catalyst/smh Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Catalyst/smh with respect to the benefits of owning Catalyst/smh High security.
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