Hennessy Large Cap Fund Market Value

HILFX Fund  USD 31.83  0.50  1.60%   
Hennessy Large's market value is the price at which a share of Hennessy Large trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hennessy Large Cap investors about its performance. Hennessy Large is trading at 31.83 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 1.60 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 31.33.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hennessy Large Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hennessy Large over a given investment horizon. Check out Hennessy Large Correlation, Hennessy Large Volatility and Hennessy Large Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hennessy Large.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hennessy Large's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hennessy Large is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hennessy Large's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hennessy Large 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hennessy Large's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hennessy Large.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hennessy Large on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hennessy Large Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hennessy Large over 30 days. Hennessy Large is related to or competes with Hennessy Large, Dow 2x, Dow 2x, T Rowe, and Dow 2x. The fund invests primarily in companies whose securities are listed on U.S More

Hennessy Large Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hennessy Large's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hennessy Large Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hennessy Large Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hennessy Large's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hennessy Large's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hennessy Large historical prices to predict the future Hennessy Large's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.9931.8333.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.6533.7135.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.7531.5933.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.5331.2732.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hennessy Large. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hennessy Large's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hennessy Large's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hennessy Large Cap.

Hennessy Large Cap Backtested Returns

Hennessy Large appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Hennessy Large Cap holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.18, which attests that the entity had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Hennessy Large Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Hennessy Large's Downside Deviation of 1.06, risk adjusted performance of 0.1477, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1787 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.94, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Hennessy Large will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

Hennessy Large Cap has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hennessy Large time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hennessy Large Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Hennessy Large price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.15
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

Hennessy Large Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hennessy Large mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hennessy Large's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hennessy Large returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hennessy Large has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hennessy Large regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hennessy Large mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hennessy Large mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hennessy Large mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hennessy Large Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hennessy Large's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hennessy Large mutual fund have on its future price. Hennessy Large autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hennessy Large autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hennessy Large mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hennessy Large Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Hennessy Mutual Fund

Hennessy Large financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hennessy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hennessy with respect to the benefits of owning Hennessy Large security.
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