Hennessy Japan Small Fund Market Value

HJSIX Fund  USD 17.20  0.05  0.29%   
Hennessy Japan's market value is the price at which a share of Hennessy Japan trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hennessy Japan Small investors about its performance. Hennessy Japan is trading at 17.20 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.29 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 17.15.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hennessy Japan Small and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hennessy Japan over a given investment horizon. Check out Hennessy Japan Correlation, Hennessy Japan Volatility and Hennessy Japan Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hennessy Japan.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hennessy Japan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hennessy Japan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hennessy Japan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hennessy Japan 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hennessy Japan's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hennessy Japan.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hennessy Japan on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hennessy Japan Small or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hennessy Japan over 30 days. Hennessy Japan is related to or competes with Hennessy Japan, Hennessy Japan, Wasatch Emerging, and Global Opportunity. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of smaller Japanese companies, typically con... More

Hennessy Japan Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hennessy Japan's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hennessy Japan Small upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hennessy Japan Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hennessy Japan's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hennessy Japan's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hennessy Japan historical prices to predict the future Hennessy Japan's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.1317.2018.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.0817.1518.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.9116.9818.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.1016.7017.31
Details

Hennessy Japan Small Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Hennessy Mutual Fund to be very steady. Hennessy Japan Small holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0027, which attests that the entity had a 0.0027% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Hennessy Japan Small, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Hennessy Japan's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0163, risk adjusted performance of 0.012, and Downside Deviation of 1.07 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0029%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.45, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Hennessy Japan's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Hennessy Japan is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.78  

Good predictability

Hennessy Japan Small has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hennessy Japan time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hennessy Japan Small price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Hennessy Japan price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.78
Spearman Rank Test0.76
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Hennessy Japan Small lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hennessy Japan mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hennessy Japan's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hennessy Japan returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hennessy Japan has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hennessy Japan regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hennessy Japan mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hennessy Japan mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hennessy Japan mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hennessy Japan Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hennessy Japan's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hennessy Japan mutual fund have on its future price. Hennessy Japan autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hennessy Japan autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hennessy Japan mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hennessy Japan Small.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Hennessy Mutual Fund

Hennessy Japan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hennessy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hennessy with respect to the benefits of owning Hennessy Japan security.
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