Hillevax Stock Market Value
| HLVX Stock | USD 1.86 0.04 2.20% |
| Symbol | Hillevax |
Hillevax Price To Book Ratio
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hillevax. If investors know Hillevax will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hillevax listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.09) | Return On Assets (0.29) | Return On Equity (0.62) |
The market value of Hillevax is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hillevax that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hillevax's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hillevax's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hillevax's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hillevax's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hillevax's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hillevax is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hillevax's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Hillevax 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hillevax's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hillevax.
| 10/24/2024 |
| 11/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Hillevax on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hillevax or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hillevax over 30 days. Hillevax is related to or competes with Pmv Pharmaceuticals, Eliem Therapeutics, MediciNova, Pharvaris, PepGen, Molecular Partners, and Monte Rosa. HilleVax, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing novel vaccines More
Hillevax Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hillevax's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hillevax upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.82 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.66) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.7 |
Hillevax Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hillevax's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hillevax's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hillevax historical prices to predict the future Hillevax's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.23) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.14) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hillevax's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hillevax Backtested Returns
Hillevax holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0333, which attests that the entity had a -0.0333% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Hillevax exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Hillevax's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.13), standard deviation of 2.09, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.95, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Hillevax returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hillevax is expected to follow. At this point, Hillevax has a negative expected return of -0.0688%. Please make sure to check out Hillevax's information ratio, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to decide if Hillevax performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.51 |
Good reverse predictability
Hillevax has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hillevax time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hillevax price movement. The serial correlation of -0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Hillevax price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.52 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Hillevax lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Hillevax stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hillevax's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hillevax returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hillevax has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Hillevax regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hillevax stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hillevax stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hillevax stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Hillevax Lagged Returns
When evaluating Hillevax's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hillevax stock have on its future price. Hillevax autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hillevax autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hillevax stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hillevax.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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When running Hillevax's price analysis, check to measure Hillevax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hillevax is operating at the current time. Most of Hillevax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hillevax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hillevax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hillevax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.