Highland Merger Arbitrage Fund Market Value

HMEAX Fund  USD 19.45  0.02  0.10%   
Highland Merger's market value is the price at which a share of Highland Merger trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Highland Merger Arbitrage investors about its performance. Highland Merger is trading at 19.45 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.10% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 19.43.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Highland Merger Arbitrage and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Highland Merger over a given investment horizon. Check out Highland Merger Correlation, Highland Merger Volatility and Highland Merger Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Highland Merger.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Highland Merger's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Highland Merger is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Highland Merger's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Highland Merger 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Highland Merger's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Highland Merger.
0.00
08/25/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Highland Merger on August 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Highland Merger Arbitrage or generate 0.0% return on investment in Highland Merger over 90 days. Highland Merger is related to or competes with Franklin Natural, Gmo Resources, World Energy, Oil Gas, and Calvert Global. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of the value of its total assets in securities of companies that are invol... More

Highland Merger Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Highland Merger's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Highland Merger Arbitrage upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Highland Merger Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Highland Merger's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Highland Merger's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Highland Merger historical prices to predict the future Highland Merger's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.2419.4519.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.2419.4519.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.2519.4619.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.4019.4319.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Highland Merger. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Highland Merger's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Highland Merger's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Highland Merger Arbitrage.

Highland Merger Arbitrage Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Highland Mutual Fund to be very steady. Highland Merger Arbitrage holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0628, which attests that the entity had a 0.0628% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Highland Merger Arbitrage, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Highland Merger's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1263, downside deviation of 0.2913, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0231 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0131%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0302, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Highland Merger's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Highland Merger is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.67  

Very good reverse predictability

Highland Merger Arbitrage has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Highland Merger time series from 25th of August 2024 to 9th of October 2024 and 9th of October 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Highland Merger Arbitrage price movement. The serial correlation of -0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Highland Merger price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.67
Spearman Rank Test-0.76
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Highland Merger Arbitrage lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Highland Merger mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Highland Merger's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Highland Merger returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Highland Merger has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Highland Merger regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Highland Merger mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Highland Merger mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Highland Merger mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Highland Merger Lagged Returns

When evaluating Highland Merger's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Highland Merger mutual fund have on its future price. Highland Merger autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Highland Merger autocorrelation shows the relationship between Highland Merger mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Highland Merger Arbitrage.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Highland Merger financial ratios help investors to determine whether Highland Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Highland with respect to the benefits of owning Highland Merger security.
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