Harvest Gold Stock Market Value
| HVGDF Stock | USD 0.04 0.01 18.00% |
| Symbol | Harvest |
Harvest Gold 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Harvest Gold's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Harvest Gold.
| 07/01/2025 |
| 12/28/2025 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Harvest Gold on July 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Harvest Gold or generate 0.0% return on investment in Harvest Gold over 180 days. Harvest Gold Corporation, an exploration stage company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of natu... More
Harvest Gold Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Harvest Gold's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Harvest Gold upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 17.22 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0508 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 82.6 | |||
| Value At Risk | (23.73) | |||
| Potential Upside | 39.0 |
Harvest Gold Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Harvest Gold's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Harvest Gold's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Harvest Gold historical prices to predict the future Harvest Gold's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0485 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 1.12 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.95) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0538 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.64) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Harvest Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Harvest Gold Backtested Returns
At this point, Harvest Gold is out of control. Harvest Gold holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of close to zero, which attests that the entity had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Harvest Gold, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Harvest Gold's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.63), risk adjusted performance of 0.0485, and Downside Deviation of 17.22 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0761%. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -1.57, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Harvest Gold are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Harvest Gold is expected to outperform it. Harvest Gold right now retains a risk of 17.41%. Please check out Harvest Gold expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to decide if Harvest Gold will be following its current trending patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.01 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Harvest Gold has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Harvest Gold time series from 1st of July 2025 to 29th of September 2025 and 29th of September 2025 to 28th of December 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Harvest Gold price movement. The serial correlation of -0.01 indicates that just 1.0% of current Harvest Gold price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.01 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.01 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Harvest Gold lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Harvest Gold pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Harvest Gold's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Harvest Gold returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Harvest Gold has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Harvest Gold regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Harvest Gold pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Harvest Gold pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Harvest Gold pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Harvest Gold Lagged Returns
When evaluating Harvest Gold's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Harvest Gold pink sheet have on its future price. Harvest Gold autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Harvest Gold autocorrelation shows the relationship between Harvest Gold pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Harvest Gold.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Other Information on Investing in Harvest Pink Sheet
Harvest Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Harvest Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Harvest with respect to the benefits of owning Harvest Gold security.