Heavitree Brewery (UK) Market Value

HVT Stock   280.00  0.00  0.00%   
Heavitree Brewery's market value is the price at which a share of Heavitree Brewery trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Heavitree Brewery investors about its performance. Heavitree Brewery is trading at 280.00 as of the 27th of November 2024, a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 280.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Heavitree Brewery and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Heavitree Brewery over a given investment horizon. Check out Heavitree Brewery Correlation, Heavitree Brewery Volatility and Heavitree Brewery Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Heavitree Brewery.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Heavitree Brewery's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heavitree Brewery is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heavitree Brewery's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Heavitree Brewery 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Heavitree Brewery's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Heavitree Brewery.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Heavitree Brewery on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Heavitree Brewery or generate 0.0% return on investment in Heavitree Brewery over 30 days. Heavitree Brewery is related to or competes with Ondine Biomedical, Europa Metals, Lendinvest PLC, Neometals, Coor Service, Albion Technology, and Jupiter Fund. Heavitree Brewery is entity of United Kingdom More

Heavitree Brewery Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Heavitree Brewery's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Heavitree Brewery upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Heavitree Brewery Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Heavitree Brewery's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Heavitree Brewery's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Heavitree Brewery historical prices to predict the future Heavitree Brewery's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
279.57280.00280.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
245.97246.40308.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
276.53276.96277.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
280.00280.00280.00
Details

Heavitree Brewery Backtested Returns

Heavitree Brewery holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.12, which attests that the entity had a -0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Heavitree Brewery exposes sixteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Heavitree Brewery's risk adjusted performance of (0.10), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.82) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0753, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Heavitree Brewery's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Heavitree Brewery is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Heavitree Brewery has a negative expected return of -0.0539%. Please make sure to check out Heavitree Brewery's information ratio, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and skewness , to decide if Heavitree Brewery performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Heavitree Brewery has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Heavitree Brewery time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Heavitree Brewery price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Heavitree Brewery price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance13.89

Heavitree Brewery lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Heavitree Brewery stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Heavitree Brewery's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Heavitree Brewery returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Heavitree Brewery has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Heavitree Brewery regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Heavitree Brewery stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Heavitree Brewery stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Heavitree Brewery stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Heavitree Brewery Lagged Returns

When evaluating Heavitree Brewery's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Heavitree Brewery stock have on its future price. Heavitree Brewery autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Heavitree Brewery autocorrelation shows the relationship between Heavitree Brewery stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Heavitree Brewery.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Heavitree Stock

Heavitree Brewery financial ratios help investors to determine whether Heavitree Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Heavitree with respect to the benefits of owning Heavitree Brewery security.