JPMIF Bond (Germany) Market Value

IH59 Fund  EUR 227.98  1.05  0.46%   
JPMIF Bond's market value is the price at which a share of JPMIF Bond trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of JPMIF Bond Fund investors about its performance. JPMIF Bond is trading at 227.98 as of the 30th of November 2024, a 0.46 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's lowest day price was 227.98.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of JPMIF Bond Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in JPMIF Bond over a given investment horizon. Check out JPMIF Bond Correlation, JPMIF Bond Volatility and JPMIF Bond Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on JPMIF Bond.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMIF Bond's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JPMIF Bond is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMIF Bond's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

JPMIF Bond 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to JPMIF Bond's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of JPMIF Bond.
0.00
03/05/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 8 months and 28 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in JPMIF Bond on March 5, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding JPMIF Bond Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in JPMIF Bond over 270 days. JPMIF Bond is related to or competes with Groupama Entreprises, Renaissance Europe, Superior Plus, Origin Agritech, Identiv, INTUITIVE SURGICAL, and Intel. More

JPMIF Bond Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure JPMIF Bond's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess JPMIF Bond Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

JPMIF Bond Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for JPMIF Bond's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as JPMIF Bond's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use JPMIF Bond historical prices to predict the future JPMIF Bond's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
227.54227.98228.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
226.76227.20250.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
228.14228.58229.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
225.02227.98230.94
Details

JPMIF Bond Fund Backtested Returns

At this point, JPMIF Bond is very steady. JPMIF Bond Fund holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.12, which attests that the entity had a 0.12% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for JPMIF Bond Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out JPMIF Bond's market risk adjusted performance of 0.6361, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0954 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0525%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0776, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, JPMIF Bond's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding JPMIF Bond is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.38  

Below average predictability

JPMIF Bond Fund has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between JPMIF Bond time series from 5th of March 2024 to 18th of July 2024 and 18th of July 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of JPMIF Bond Fund price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current JPMIF Bond price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.38
Spearman Rank Test0.38
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.79

JPMIF Bond Fund lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is JPMIF Bond fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting JPMIF Bond's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of JPMIF Bond returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that JPMIF Bond has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

JPMIF Bond regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If JPMIF Bond fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if JPMIF Bond fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in JPMIF Bond fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

JPMIF Bond Lagged Returns

When evaluating JPMIF Bond's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of JPMIF Bond fund have on its future price. JPMIF Bond autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, JPMIF Bond autocorrelation shows the relationship between JPMIF Bond fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in JPMIF Bond Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in JPMIF Fund

JPMIF Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether JPMIF Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JPMIF with respect to the benefits of owning JPMIF Bond security.
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