Invesco Income Allocation Fund Market Value

ILAAX Fund  USD 10.78  0.06  0.56%   
Invesco Income's market value is the price at which a share of Invesco Income trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invesco Income Allocation investors about its performance. Invesco Income is trading at 10.78 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.56% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.72.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invesco Income Allocation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invesco Income over a given investment horizon. Check out Invesco Income Correlation, Invesco Income Volatility and Invesco Income Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invesco Income.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Income is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invesco Income 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invesco Income's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invesco Income.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invesco Income on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invesco Income Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invesco Income over 30 days. Invesco Income is related to or competes with Pace Large, Washington Mutual, Goldman Sachs, Vanguard Equity, Aqr Large, Enhanced, and Fundamental Large. The fund is a fund of funds, and invests its assets in other underlying mutual funds advised by the adviser and ETFs and... More

Invesco Income Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invesco Income's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invesco Income Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invesco Income Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invesco Income's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invesco Income's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invesco Income historical prices to predict the future Invesco Income's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4910.7811.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.4610.7511.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.4610.7511.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6510.7310.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco Income. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco Income's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco Income's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invesco Income Allocation.

Invesco Income Allocation Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Invesco Mutual Fund to be very steady. Invesco Income Allocation holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0975, which attests that the entity had a 0.0975% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Invesco Income Allocation, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Invesco Income's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.4207, downside deviation of 0.2904, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0449 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0282%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0318, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Invesco Income's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invesco Income is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.74  

Good predictability

Invesco Income Allocation has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invesco Income time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invesco Income Allocation price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Invesco Income price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.74
Spearman Rank Test0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Invesco Income Allocation lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invesco Income mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invesco Income's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invesco Income returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invesco Income has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invesco Income regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invesco Income mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invesco Income mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invesco Income mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invesco Income Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invesco Income's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invesco Income mutual fund have on its future price. Invesco Income autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invesco Income autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invesco Income mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invesco Income Allocation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Income security.
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