IShares UBS (Australia) Market Value

ILB Etf   124.35  0.20  0.16%   
IShares UBS's market value is the price at which a share of IShares UBS trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of iShares UBS Government investors about its performance. IShares UBS is selling for under 124.35 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.16% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's last reported lowest price was 124.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of iShares UBS Government and determine expected loss or profit from investing in IShares UBS over a given investment horizon. Check out IShares UBS Correlation, IShares UBS Volatility and IShares UBS Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on IShares UBS.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares UBS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares UBS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IShares UBS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

IShares UBS 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to IShares UBS's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of IShares UBS.
0.00
09/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in IShares UBS on September 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding iShares UBS Government or generate 0.0% return on investment in IShares UBS over 60 days. IShares UBS is related to or competes with Vanguard Total, SPDR SP, IShares Core, IShares Core, VanEck Vectors, VanEck Morningstar, and IShares Global. IShares UBS is entity of Australia. It is traded as Etf on AU exchange. More

IShares UBS Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure IShares UBS's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess iShares UBS Government upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

IShares UBS Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for IShares UBS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as IShares UBS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use IShares UBS historical prices to predict the future IShares UBS's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
124.06124.35124.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
121.13121.42136.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
124.15124.44124.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
124.09124.28124.47
Details

iShares UBS Government Backtested Returns

iShares UBS Government holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.11, which attests that the entity had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. iShares UBS Government exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out IShares UBS's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), market risk adjusted performance of 0.8121, and Standard Deviation of 0.3016 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0401, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning IShares UBS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, IShares UBS is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

iShares UBS Government has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between IShares UBS time series from 24th of September 2024 to 24th of October 2024 and 24th of October 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of iShares UBS Government price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current IShares UBS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test-0.27
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.19

iShares UBS Government lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is IShares UBS etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting IShares UBS's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of IShares UBS returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that IShares UBS has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

IShares UBS regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If IShares UBS etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if IShares UBS etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in IShares UBS etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

IShares UBS Lagged Returns

When evaluating IShares UBS's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of IShares UBS etf have on its future price. IShares UBS autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, IShares UBS autocorrelation shows the relationship between IShares UBS etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in iShares UBS Government.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

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Other Information on Investing in IShares Etf

IShares UBS financial ratios help investors to determine whether IShares Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IShares with respect to the benefits of owning IShares UBS security.