Transamerica Capital Growth Fund Market Value

ILLLX Fund  USD 25.58  0.22  0.87%   
Transamerica Capital's market value is the price at which a share of Transamerica Capital trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Transamerica Capital Growth investors about its performance. Transamerica Capital is trading at 25.58 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.87 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 25.36.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Transamerica Capital Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Transamerica Capital over a given investment horizon. Check out Transamerica Capital Correlation, Transamerica Capital Volatility and Transamerica Capital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Transamerica Capital.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Transamerica Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Transamerica Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Transamerica Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Transamerica Capital 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Transamerica Capital's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Transamerica Capital.
0.00
07/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 26 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Transamerica Capital on July 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Transamerica Capital Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Transamerica Capital over 510 days. Transamerica Capital is related to or competes with Transamerica Capital, Ridgeworth Innovative, Transamerica Capital, Internet Ultrasector, and Leland Thomson. The fund seeks long-term capital growth by investing primarily in established and emerging companies with capitalization... More

Transamerica Capital Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Transamerica Capital's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Transamerica Capital Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Transamerica Capital Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Transamerica Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Transamerica Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Transamerica Capital historical prices to predict the future Transamerica Capital's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.9325.5827.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.0226.6728.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.2425.8927.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.7823.8325.88
Details

Transamerica Capital Backtested Returns

Transamerica Capital appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Transamerica Capital owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.36, which indicates the fund had a 0.36% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Transamerica Capital's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.58% is justified by implied risk. Please review Transamerica Capital's Semi Deviation of 0.7752, risk adjusted performance of 0.252, and Coefficient Of Variation of 309.82 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The entity has a beta of 1.39, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Transamerica Capital will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.73  

Good predictability

Transamerica Capital Growth has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Transamerica Capital time series from 5th of July 2023 to 16th of March 2024 and 16th of March 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Transamerica Capital price movement. The serial correlation of 0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current Transamerica Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.73
Spearman Rank Test0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.36

Transamerica Capital lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Transamerica Capital mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Transamerica Capital's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Transamerica Capital returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Transamerica Capital has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Transamerica Capital regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Transamerica Capital mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Transamerica Capital mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Transamerica Capital mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Transamerica Capital Lagged Returns

When evaluating Transamerica Capital's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Transamerica Capital mutual fund have on its future price. Transamerica Capital autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Transamerica Capital autocorrelation shows the relationship between Transamerica Capital mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Transamerica Capital Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Transamerica Mutual Fund

Transamerica Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transamerica Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transamerica with respect to the benefits of owning Transamerica Capital security.
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