InRetail Peru (Peru) Market Value

INRETC1 Stock   31.20  0.20  0.64%   
InRetail Peru's market value is the price at which a share of InRetail Peru trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of InRetail Peru Corp investors about its performance. InRetail Peru is trading at 31.20 as of the 25th of November 2024, a 0.64% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 31.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of InRetail Peru Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in InRetail Peru over a given investment horizon. Check out InRetail Peru Correlation, InRetail Peru Volatility and InRetail Peru Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on InRetail Peru.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between InRetail Peru's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if InRetail Peru is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, InRetail Peru's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

InRetail Peru 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to InRetail Peru's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of InRetail Peru.
0.00
10/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in InRetail Peru on October 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding InRetail Peru Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in InRetail Peru over 30 days. More

InRetail Peru Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure InRetail Peru's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess InRetail Peru Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

InRetail Peru Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for InRetail Peru's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as InRetail Peru's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use InRetail Peru historical prices to predict the future InRetail Peru's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of InRetail Peru's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.5131.2031.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.0836.5637.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.8430.5431.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.9231.4331.95
Details

InRetail Peru Corp Backtested Returns

At this point, InRetail Peru is very steady. InRetail Peru Corp holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the entity had a 0.13% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for InRetail Peru Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out InRetail Peru's market risk adjusted performance of 7.79, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1384 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0887%. InRetail Peru has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0145, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, InRetail Peru's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding InRetail Peru is expected to be smaller as well. InRetail Peru Corp right now retains a risk of 0.69%. Please check out InRetail Peru skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to decide if InRetail Peru will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.27  

Poor predictability

InRetail Peru Corp has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between InRetail Peru time series from 26th of October 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of InRetail Peru Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current InRetail Peru price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.27
Spearman Rank Test-0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

InRetail Peru Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is InRetail Peru stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting InRetail Peru's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of InRetail Peru returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that InRetail Peru has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

InRetail Peru regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If InRetail Peru stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if InRetail Peru stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in InRetail Peru stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

InRetail Peru Lagged Returns

When evaluating InRetail Peru's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of InRetail Peru stock have on its future price. InRetail Peru autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, InRetail Peru autocorrelation shows the relationship between InRetail Peru stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in InRetail Peru Corp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in InRetail Stock

InRetail Peru financial ratios help investors to determine whether InRetail Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in InRetail with respect to the benefits of owning InRetail Peru security.