Alphacentric Income Opportunities Fund Market Value

IOFCX Fund  USD 7.48  0.02  0.27%   
Alphacentric Income's market value is the price at which a share of Alphacentric Income trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alphacentric Income Opportunities investors about its performance. Alphacentric Income is trading at 7.48 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.27 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 7.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alphacentric Income Opportunities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alphacentric Income over a given investment horizon. Check out Alphacentric Income Correlation, Alphacentric Income Volatility and Alphacentric Income Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alphacentric Income.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alphacentric Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alphacentric Income is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alphacentric Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alphacentric Income 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alphacentric Income's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alphacentric Income.
0.00
10/28/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alphacentric Income on October 28, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alphacentric Income Opportunities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alphacentric Income over 30 days. Alphacentric Income is related to or competes with Alphacentric Lifesci, Alphacentric Lifesci, and Alphacentric Global. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by primarily investing in asset-backed fixed income securities, such ... More

Alphacentric Income Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alphacentric Income's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alphacentric Income Opportunities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alphacentric Income Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alphacentric Income's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alphacentric Income's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alphacentric Income historical prices to predict the future Alphacentric Income's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alphacentric Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.177.487.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.197.507.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.207.517.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.427.477.52
Details

Alphacentric Income Backtested Returns

Alphacentric Income secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.046, which signifies that the fund had a -0.046% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Alphacentric Income Opportunities exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alphacentric Income's Standard Deviation of 0.3044, mean deviation of 0.222, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0401, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Alphacentric Income's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alphacentric Income is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.63  

Good predictability

Alphacentric Income Opportunities has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alphacentric Income time series from 28th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alphacentric Income price movement. The serial correlation of 0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Alphacentric Income price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.63
Spearman Rank Test0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Alphacentric Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alphacentric Income mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alphacentric Income's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alphacentric Income returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alphacentric Income has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alphacentric Income regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alphacentric Income mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alphacentric Income mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alphacentric Income mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alphacentric Income Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alphacentric Income's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alphacentric Income mutual fund have on its future price. Alphacentric Income autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alphacentric Income autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alphacentric Income mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alphacentric Income Opportunities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Alphacentric Mutual Fund

Alphacentric Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alphacentric Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alphacentric with respect to the benefits of owning Alphacentric Income security.
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