International Paper (Mexico) Market Value
| IP Stock | MXN 883.00 0.00 0.00% |
| Symbol | International |
International Paper 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to International Paper's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of International Paper.
| 12/07/2022 |
| 11/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in International Paper on December 7, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding International Paper or generate 0.0% return on investment in International Paper over 720 days. International Paper is related to or competes with DXC Technology, FibraHotel, Monster Beverage, UnitedHealth Group, FIBRA Storage, Hoteles City, and United Airlines. International Paper Company operates as a paper and packaging company primarily in North America, Europe, Latin America,... More
International Paper Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure International Paper's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess International Paper upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.86) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.08 |
International Paper Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for International Paper's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as International Paper's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use International Paper historical prices to predict the future International Paper's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0467 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0078 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.55) |
International Paper Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider International Stock to be very steady. International Paper holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the entity had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found sixteen technical indicators for International Paper, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out International Paper's Standard Deviation of 0.133, risk adjusted performance of 0.0467, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.54) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0177%. International Paper has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0116, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning International Paper are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, International Paper is likely to outperform the market. International Paper right now retains a risk of 0.14%. Please check out International Paper risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and kurtosis , to decide if International Paper will be following its current trending patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.78 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
International Paper has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between International Paper time series from 7th of December 2022 to 2nd of December 2023 and 2nd of December 2023 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of International Paper price movement. The serial correlation of -0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current International Paper price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.78 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.65 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 22.4 K |
International Paper lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is International Paper stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting International Paper's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of International Paper returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that International Paper has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
International Paper regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If International Paper stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if International Paper stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in International Paper stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
International Paper Lagged Returns
When evaluating International Paper's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of International Paper stock have on its future price. International Paper autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, International Paper autocorrelation shows the relationship between International Paper stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in International Paper.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for International Stock Analysis
When running International Paper's price analysis, check to measure International Paper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy International Paper is operating at the current time. Most of International Paper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of International Paper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move International Paper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of International Paper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.