IperionX (Australia) Market Value

IPX Stock   4.34  0.13  2.91%   
IperionX's market value is the price at which a share of IperionX trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of IperionX Limited investors about its performance. IperionX is selling for under 4.34 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 2.91 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 4.27.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of IperionX Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in IperionX over a given investment horizon. Check out IperionX Correlation, IperionX Volatility and IperionX Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on IperionX.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between IperionX's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IperionX is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IperionX's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

IperionX 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to IperionX's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of IperionX.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in IperionX on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding IperionX Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in IperionX over 30 days. IperionX is related to or competes with MotorCycle Holdings, Cleanaway Waste, Infomedia, and Clime Investment. IperionX is entity of Australia. It is traded as Stock on AU exchange. More

IperionX Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure IperionX's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess IperionX Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

IperionX Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for IperionX's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as IperionX's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use IperionX historical prices to predict the future IperionX's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.584.348.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.275.038.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.624.388.14
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.02-0.00650
Details

IperionX Limited Backtested Returns

IperionX appears to be moderately volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. IperionX Limited holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.2, which attests that the entity had a 0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By evaluating IperionX's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.76% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize IperionX's Downside Deviation of 3.02, market risk adjusted performance of 1.51, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1913 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, IperionX holds a performance score of 15. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.62, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, IperionX's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding IperionX is expected to be smaller as well. Please check IperionX's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, jensen alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside deviation and information ratio , to make a quick decision on whether IperionX's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.74  

Good predictability

IperionX Limited has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between IperionX time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of IperionX Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current IperionX price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.74
Spearman Rank Test0.63
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

IperionX Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is IperionX stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting IperionX's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of IperionX returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that IperionX has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

IperionX regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If IperionX stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if IperionX stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in IperionX stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

IperionX Lagged Returns

When evaluating IperionX's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of IperionX stock have on its future price. IperionX autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, IperionX autocorrelation shows the relationship between IperionX stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in IperionX Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for IperionX Stock Analysis

When running IperionX's price analysis, check to measure IperionX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IperionX is operating at the current time. Most of IperionX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IperionX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IperionX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IperionX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.