Invictus Energy Limited Stock Market Value

IVCTF Stock  USD 0.05  0  4.44%   
Invictus Energy's market value is the price at which a share of Invictus Energy trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invictus Energy Limited investors about its performance. Invictus Energy is trading at 0.047 as of the 23rd of November 2024. This is a 4.44 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.0392.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invictus Energy Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invictus Energy over a given investment horizon. Check out Invictus Energy Correlation, Invictus Energy Volatility and Invictus Energy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invictus Energy.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invictus Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invictus Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invictus Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invictus Energy 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invictus Energy's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invictus Energy.
0.00
02/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 8 months and 28 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invictus Energy on February 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invictus Energy Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invictus Energy over 270 days. Invictus Energy is related to or competes with Sintana Energy, Journey Energy, Frontera Energy, Eco (Atlantic), CGX Energy, Pantheon Resources, and Coelacanth Energy. Invictus Energy Limited, an independent upstream oil and gas company, engages in the exploration and appraisal of the Ca... More

Invictus Energy Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invictus Energy's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invictus Energy Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invictus Energy Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invictus Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invictus Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invictus Energy historical prices to predict the future Invictus Energy's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invictus Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.056.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.046.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0010.056.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.040.050.05
Details

Invictus Energy Backtested Returns

Invictus Energy holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0137, which attests that the entity had a -0.0137% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Invictus Energy exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Invictus Energy's Standard Deviation of 6.35, risk adjusted performance of 4.0E-4, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.69, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Invictus Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Invictus Energy is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Invictus Energy has a negative expected return of -0.088%. Please make sure to check out Invictus Energy's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if Invictus Energy performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.46  

Average predictability

Invictus Energy Limited has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invictus Energy time series from 27th of February 2024 to 11th of July 2024 and 11th of July 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invictus Energy price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Invictus Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.46
Spearman Rank Test0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Invictus Energy lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invictus Energy otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invictus Energy's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invictus Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invictus Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the otc stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invictus Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invictus Energy otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invictus Energy otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invictus Energy otc stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invictus Energy Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invictus Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invictus Energy otc stock have on its future price. Invictus Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invictus Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invictus Energy otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invictus Energy Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Invictus OTC Stock

Invictus Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invictus OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invictus with respect to the benefits of owning Invictus Energy security.