John Hancock Variable Fund Market Value

JADBX Fund  USD 22.26  0.13  0.59%   
John Hancock's market value is the price at which a share of John Hancock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of John Hancock Variable investors about its performance. John Hancock is trading at 22.26 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.59 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 22.13.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of John Hancock Variable and determine expected loss or profit from investing in John Hancock over a given investment horizon. Check out John Hancock Correlation, John Hancock Volatility and John Hancock Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on John Hancock.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between John Hancock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if John Hancock is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, John Hancock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

John Hancock 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to John Hancock's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of John Hancock.
0.00
02/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 9 months and 23 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in John Hancock on February 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding John Hancock Variable or generate 0.0% return on investment in John Hancock over 660 days. John Hancock is related to or competes with Pace Municipal, T Rowe, Old Westbury, T Rowe, Blrc Sgy, and Oklahoma Municipal. John Hancock is entity of United States. It is traded as Fund on NMFQS exchange. More

John Hancock Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure John Hancock's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess John Hancock Variable upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

John Hancock Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for John Hancock's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as John Hancock's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use John Hancock historical prices to predict the future John Hancock's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.4322.2623.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.2622.0922.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.9622.7923.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.1821.8222.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as John Hancock. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against John Hancock's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, John Hancock's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in John Hancock Variable.

John Hancock Variable Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider John Mutual Fund to be very steady. John Hancock Variable holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0936, which attests that the entity had a 0.0936% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for John Hancock Variable, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out John Hancock's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0723, market risk adjusted performance of 0.4975, and Downside Deviation of 0.901 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0779%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.14, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, John Hancock's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding John Hancock is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.41  

Modest reverse predictability

John Hancock Variable has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between John Hancock time series from 9th of February 2023 to 5th of January 2024 and 5th of January 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of John Hancock Variable price movement. The serial correlation of -0.41 indicates that just about 41.0% of current John Hancock price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.41
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.02

John Hancock Variable lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is John Hancock mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting John Hancock's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of John Hancock returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that John Hancock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

John Hancock regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If John Hancock mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if John Hancock mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in John Hancock mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

John Hancock Lagged Returns

When evaluating John Hancock's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of John Hancock mutual fund have on its future price. John Hancock autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, John Hancock autocorrelation shows the relationship between John Hancock mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in John Hancock Variable.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in John Mutual Fund

John Hancock financial ratios help investors to determine whether John Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in John with respect to the benefits of owning John Hancock security.
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