James Alpha Global Fund Market Value

JARIX Fund  USD 14.74  0.14  0.96%   
James Alpha's market value is the price at which a share of James Alpha trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of James Alpha Global investors about its performance. James Alpha is trading at 14.74 as of the 25th of November 2024; that is 0.96 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 14.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of James Alpha Global and determine expected loss or profit from investing in James Alpha over a given investment horizon. Check out James Alpha Correlation, James Alpha Volatility and James Alpha Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on James Alpha.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between James Alpha's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if James Alpha is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, James Alpha's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

James Alpha 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to James Alpha's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of James Alpha.
0.00
12/06/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in James Alpha on December 6, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding James Alpha Global or generate 0.0% return on investment in James Alpha over 720 days. James Alpha is related to or competes with Virtus Global, Virtus Global, and Center Coast. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in real estate and real estate-relate... More

James Alpha Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure James Alpha's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess James Alpha Global upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

James Alpha Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for James Alpha's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as James Alpha's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use James Alpha historical prices to predict the future James Alpha's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.0514.7415.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1714.8615.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.0514.7415.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.5614.6914.83
Details

James Alpha Global Backtested Returns

James Alpha Global holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0966, which attests that the entity had a -0.0966% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. James Alpha Global exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out James Alpha's Standard Deviation of 0.7148, market risk adjusted performance of (0.13), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.31, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, James Alpha's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding James Alpha is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.55  

Good reverse predictability

James Alpha Global has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between James Alpha time series from 6th of December 2022 to 1st of December 2023 and 1st of December 2023 to 25th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of James Alpha Global price movement. The serial correlation of -0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current James Alpha price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.55
Spearman Rank Test-0.39
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.68

James Alpha Global lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is James Alpha mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting James Alpha's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of James Alpha returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that James Alpha has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

James Alpha regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If James Alpha mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if James Alpha mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in James Alpha mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

James Alpha Lagged Returns

When evaluating James Alpha's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of James Alpha mutual fund have on its future price. James Alpha autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, James Alpha autocorrelation shows the relationship between James Alpha mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in James Alpha Global.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in James Mutual Fund

James Alpha financial ratios help investors to determine whether James Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in James with respect to the benefits of owning James Alpha security.
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