Alpscorecommodity Management Pletecommoditiessm Fund Market Value

JCRIX Fund  USD 7.49  0.07  0.93%   
Alps/corecommodity's market value is the price at which a share of Alps/corecommodity trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alpscorecommodity Management Pletecommoditiessm investors about its performance. Alps/corecommodity is trading at 7.49 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.93 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 7.56.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alpscorecommodity Management Pletecommoditiessm and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alps/corecommodity over a given investment horizon. Check out Alps/corecommodity Correlation, Alps/corecommodity Volatility and Alps/corecommodity Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alps/corecommodity.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alps/corecommodity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alps/corecommodity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alps/corecommodity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alps/corecommodity 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alps/corecommodity's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alps/corecommodity.
0.00
09/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alps/corecommodity on September 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alpscorecommodity Management Pletecommoditiessm or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alps/corecommodity over 60 days. Alps/corecommodity is related to or competes with Alps/kotak India, Alpskotak India, Alps/kotak India, Alps/kotak India, Financial Investors, Riverfront Asset, and Alps/corecommodity. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing,under normal circumstances,directly or indirectly in a combination of equity securities of natural resource companies, as commodity-related equity securities and commodity futures-linked derivative instruments thereby obtaining exposure to the commodity markets. More

Alps/corecommodity Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alps/corecommodity's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alpscorecommodity Management Pletecommoditiessm upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alps/corecommodity Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alps/corecommodity's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alps/corecommodity's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alps/corecommodity historical prices to predict the future Alps/corecommodity's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.647.498.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.036.887.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.597.448.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.477.537.58
Details

Alps/corecommodity Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Alps/corecommodity Mutual Fund to be not too volatile. Alps/corecommodity secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.014, which signifies that the fund had a 0.014% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Alpscorecommodity Management Pletecommoditiessm, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Alps/corecommodity's Mean Deviation of 0.6694, risk adjusted performance of 0.0333, and Downside Deviation of 1.13 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0119%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0056, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Alps/corecommodity are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Alps/corecommodity is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.23  

Weak predictability

Alpscorecommodity Management Pletecommoditiessm has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alps/corecommodity time series from 24th of September 2024 to 24th of October 2024 and 24th of October 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alps/corecommodity price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Alps/corecommodity price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.23
Spearman Rank Test0.16
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Alps/corecommodity lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alps/corecommodity mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alps/corecommodity's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alps/corecommodity returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alps/corecommodity has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alps/corecommodity regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alps/corecommodity mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alps/corecommodity mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alps/corecommodity mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alps/corecommodity Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alps/corecommodity's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alps/corecommodity mutual fund have on its future price. Alps/corecommodity autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alps/corecommodity autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alps/corecommodity mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alpscorecommodity Management Pletecommoditiessm.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Alps/corecommodity Mutual Fund

Alps/corecommodity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alps/corecommodity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alps/corecommodity with respect to the benefits of owning Alps/corecommodity security.
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