JM Financial (India) Market Value

JMFINANCIL   132.98  1.07  0.81%   
JM Financial's market value is the price at which a share of JM Financial trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of JM Financial Limited investors about its performance. JM Financial is selling at 132.98 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.81 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 131.91.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of JM Financial Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in JM Financial over a given investment horizon. Check out JM Financial Correlation, JM Financial Volatility and JM Financial Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on JM Financial.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between JM Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JM Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JM Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

JM Financial 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to JM Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of JM Financial.
0.00
12/04/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in JM Financial on December 4, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding JM Financial Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in JM Financial over 720 days. JM Financial is related to or competes with Kingfa Science, Rico Auto, GACM Technologies, COSMO FIRST, Delta Manufacturing, Tribhovandas Bhimji, and Parag Milk. JM Financial is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

JM Financial Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure JM Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess JM Financial Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

JM Financial Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for JM Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as JM Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use JM Financial historical prices to predict the future JM Financial's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
131.67135.11138.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
130.72134.16137.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
131.18134.62138.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
131.61132.62133.63
Details

JM Financial Limited Backtested Returns

JM Financial appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. JM Financial Limited retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which attests that the entity had a 0.13% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for JM Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize JM Financial's Semi Deviation of 3.07, market risk adjusted performance of 1.8, and Standard Deviation of 3.67 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, JM Financial holds a performance score of 10. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.34, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, JM Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding JM Financial is expected to be smaller as well. Please check JM Financial's standard deviation, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether JM Financial's current price history will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.77  

Good predictability

JM Financial Limited has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between JM Financial time series from 4th of December 2022 to 29th of November 2023 and 29th of November 2023 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of JM Financial Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.77 indicates that around 77.0% of current JM Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.77
Spearman Rank Test0.53
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance525.7

JM Financial Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is JM Financial stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting JM Financial's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of JM Financial returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that JM Financial has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

JM Financial regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If JM Financial stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if JM Financial stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in JM Financial stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

JM Financial Lagged Returns

When evaluating JM Financial's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of JM Financial stock have on its future price. JM Financial autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, JM Financial autocorrelation shows the relationship between JM Financial stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in JM Financial Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in JMFINANCIL Stock

JM Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether JMFINANCIL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JMFINANCIL with respect to the benefits of owning JM Financial security.