Johnson Johnson (Germany) Market Value
JNJ Stock | EUR 147.00 0.18 0.12% |
Symbol | Johnson |
Johnson Johnson 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Johnson Johnson's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Johnson Johnson.
06/03/2024 |
| 11/30/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Johnson Johnson on June 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Johnson Johnson or generate 0.0% return on investment in Johnson Johnson over 180 days. Johnson Johnson is related to or competes with Playtech Plc, ANTA SPORTS, UNITED RENTALS, UNIVMUSIC GRPADR/050, KOOL2PLAY, Sixt Leasing, and GEAR4MUSIC. More
Johnson Johnson Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Johnson Johnson's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Johnson Johnson upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 0.9015 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.15) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 3.62 | |||
Value At Risk | (1.33) | |||
Potential Upside | 1.76 |
Johnson Johnson Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Johnson Johnson's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Johnson Johnson's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Johnson Johnson historical prices to predict the future Johnson Johnson's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0043 | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
Sortino Ratio | (0.15) | |||
Treynor Ratio | (0.06) |
Johnson Johnson Backtested Returns
Johnson Johnson holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0113, which attests that the entity had a -0.0113% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Johnson Johnson exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Johnson Johnson's Downside Deviation of 0.9015, market risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0043 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.11, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Johnson Johnson's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Johnson Johnson is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Johnson Johnson has a negative expected return of -0.0099%. Please make sure to check out Johnson Johnson's information ratio, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Johnson Johnson performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.05 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Johnson Johnson has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Johnson Johnson time series from 3rd of June 2024 to 1st of September 2024 and 1st of September 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Johnson Johnson price movement. The serial correlation of -0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current Johnson Johnson price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | -0.05 | |
Spearman Rank Test | -0.16 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 5.08 |
Johnson Johnson lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Johnson Johnson stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Johnson Johnson's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Johnson Johnson returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Johnson Johnson has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Johnson Johnson regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Johnson Johnson stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Johnson Johnson stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Johnson Johnson stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Johnson Johnson Lagged Returns
When evaluating Johnson Johnson's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Johnson Johnson stock have on its future price. Johnson Johnson autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Johnson Johnson autocorrelation shows the relationship between Johnson Johnson stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Johnson Johnson.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Johnson Stock
When determining whether Johnson Johnson is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Johnson Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Johnson Johnson Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Johnson Johnson Stock:Check out Johnson Johnson Correlation, Johnson Johnson Volatility and Johnson Johnson Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Johnson Johnson. For information on how to trade Johnson Stock refer to our How to Trade Johnson Stock guide.You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Johnson Johnson technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.