Johcm International Opportunities Fund Market Value

JOPSX Fund  USD 12.71  0.11  0.87%   
Johcm International's market value is the price at which a share of Johcm International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Johcm International Opportunities investors about its performance. Johcm International is trading at 12.71 as of the 27th of November 2024; that is 0.87 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.6.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Johcm International Opportunities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Johcm International over a given investment horizon. Check out Johcm International Correlation, Johcm International Volatility and Johcm International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Johcm International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Johcm International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Johcm International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Johcm International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Johcm International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Johcm International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Johcm International.
0.00
09/04/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 2 months and 27 days
11/27/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Johcm International on September 4, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Johcm International Opportunities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Johcm International over 450 days. Johcm International is related to or competes with Victory High, Artisan High, Ms Global, Rbc Ultra-short, Rational/pier, and California Bond. The fund invests primarily in equity securities of companies located outside the U.S More

Johcm International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Johcm International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Johcm International Opportunities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Johcm International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Johcm International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Johcm International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Johcm International historical prices to predict the future Johcm International's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Johcm International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0112.7113.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.1212.8213.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.8812.5813.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.4612.7012.93
Details

Johcm International Backtested Returns

Johcm International holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.12, which attests that the entity had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Johcm International exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Johcm International's Standard Deviation of 0.6924, market risk adjusted performance of (0.26), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.34, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Johcm International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Johcm International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

Johcm International Opportunities has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Johcm International time series from 4th of September 2023 to 16th of April 2024 and 16th of April 2024 to 27th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Johcm International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Johcm International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.13

Johcm International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Johcm International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Johcm International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Johcm International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Johcm International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Johcm International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Johcm International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Johcm International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Johcm International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Johcm International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Johcm International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Johcm International mutual fund have on its future price. Johcm International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Johcm International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Johcm International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Johcm International Opportunities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in JOHCM Mutual Fund

Johcm International financial ratios help investors to determine whether JOHCM Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JOHCM with respect to the benefits of owning Johcm International security.
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