Regional Bank Fund Market Value

JRGRX Fund  USD 32.71  0.04  0.12%   
Regional Bank's market value is the price at which a share of Regional Bank trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Regional Bank Fund investors about its performance. Regional Bank is trading at 32.71 as of the 22nd of November 2024; that is 0.12% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 32.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Regional Bank Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Regional Bank over a given investment horizon. Check out Regional Bank Correlation, Regional Bank Volatility and Regional Bank Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Regional Bank.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Regional Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Regional Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Regional Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Regional Bank 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Regional Bank's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Regional Bank.
0.00
11/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Regional Bank on November 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Regional Bank Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Regional Bank over 360 days. Regional Bank is related to or competes with Metropolitan West, T Rowe, Morningstar Defensive, T Rowe, and Nuveen Minnesota. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of regional banks More

Regional Bank Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Regional Bank's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Regional Bank Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Regional Bank Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Regional Bank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Regional Bank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Regional Bank historical prices to predict the future Regional Bank's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.6732.7134.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.1132.1534.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.4932.5334.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.8531.2734.70
Details

Regional Bank Backtested Returns

Regional Bank appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Regional Bank maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.11, which implies the entity had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Regional Bank, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please evaluate Regional Bank's Semi Deviation of 1.08, coefficient of variation of 705.33, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1144 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund holds a Beta of -0.1, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Regional Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Regional Bank is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.06  

Virtually no predictability

Regional Bank Fund has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Regional Bank time series from 28th of November 2023 to 26th of May 2024 and 26th of May 2024 to 22nd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Regional Bank price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Regional Bank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.06
Spearman Rank Test-0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.52

Regional Bank lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Regional Bank mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Regional Bank's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Regional Bank returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Regional Bank has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Regional Bank regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Regional Bank mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Regional Bank mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Regional Bank mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Regional Bank Lagged Returns

When evaluating Regional Bank's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Regional Bank mutual fund have on its future price. Regional Bank autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Regional Bank autocorrelation shows the relationship between Regional Bank mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Regional Bank Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Regional Mutual Fund

Regional Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Regional Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Regional with respect to the benefits of owning Regional Bank security.
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