Intech Managed Volatility Fund Market Value

JRSAX Fund  USD 12.40  0.03  0.24%   
Intech Managed's market value is the price at which a share of Intech Managed trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Intech Managed Volatility investors about its performance. Intech Managed is trading at 12.40 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.24% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 12.37.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Intech Managed Volatility and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Intech Managed over a given investment horizon. Check out Intech Managed Correlation, Intech Managed Volatility and Intech Managed Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Intech Managed.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Intech Managed's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intech Managed is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intech Managed's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Intech Managed 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Intech Managed's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Intech Managed.
0.00
07/05/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 4 months and 26 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Intech Managed on July 5, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Intech Managed Volatility or generate 0.0% return on investment in Intech Managed over 510 days. Intech Managed is related to or competes with Janus Enterprise, Janus Growth, Janus Triton, Janus Contrarian, and Janus Balanced. The fund invests, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of U.S More

Intech Managed Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Intech Managed's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Intech Managed Volatility upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Intech Managed Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Intech Managed's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Intech Managed's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Intech Managed historical prices to predict the future Intech Managed's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6812.4013.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5512.2712.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.6212.3413.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.1512.3212.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intech Managed. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intech Managed's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intech Managed's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Intech Managed Volatility.

Intech Managed Volatility Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Intech Mutual Fund to be very steady. Intech Managed Volatility holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.14, which attests that the entity had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Intech Managed Volatility, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Intech Managed's Downside Deviation of 0.7962, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1158, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0961 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0987%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.75, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Intech Managed's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Intech Managed is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.51  

Modest predictability

Intech Managed Volatility has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Intech Managed time series from 5th of July 2023 to 16th of March 2024 and 16th of March 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Intech Managed Volatility price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current Intech Managed price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.51
Spearman Rank Test0.53
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.35

Intech Managed Volatility lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Intech Managed mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Intech Managed's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Intech Managed returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Intech Managed has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Intech Managed regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Intech Managed mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Intech Managed mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Intech Managed mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Intech Managed Lagged Returns

When evaluating Intech Managed's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Intech Managed mutual fund have on its future price. Intech Managed autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Intech Managed autocorrelation shows the relationship between Intech Managed mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Intech Managed Volatility.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Intech Mutual Fund

Intech Managed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Intech Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Intech with respect to the benefits of owning Intech Managed security.
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