JS Real (Brazil) Market Value

JSRE11 Fund  BRL 58.52  1.54  2.56%   
JS Real's market value is the price at which a share of JS Real trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of JS Real Estate investors about its performance. JS Real is trading at 58.52 as of the 29th of November 2024, a 2.56 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 60.06.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of JS Real Estate and determine expected loss or profit from investing in JS Real over a given investment horizon. Check out JS Real Correlation, JS Real Volatility and JS Real Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on JS Real.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between JS Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JS Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JS Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

JS Real 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to JS Real's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of JS Real.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in JS Real on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding JS Real Estate or generate 0.0% return on investment in JS Real over 30 days. JS Real is related to or competes with Energisa, BTG Pactual, Plano Plano, Companhia Habitasul, Procter Gamble, Telefonaktiebolaget, and Cable One. More

JS Real Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure JS Real's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess JS Real Estate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

JS Real Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for JS Real's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as JS Real's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use JS Real historical prices to predict the future JS Real's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
57.5458.5259.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.0054.9864.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
57.9558.9359.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
58.9760.5662.15
Details

JS Real Estate Backtested Returns

JS Real Estate retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.14, which attests that the entity had a -0.14% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. JS Real exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out JS Real's Information Ratio of (0.28), market risk adjusted performance of 1.25, and Coefficient Of Variation of (674.14) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.12, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning JS Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, JS Real is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.33  

Below average predictability

JS Real Estate has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between JS Real time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of JS Real Estate price movement. The serial correlation of 0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current JS Real price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.33
Spearman Rank Test0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.34

JS Real Estate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is JS Real fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting JS Real's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of JS Real returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that JS Real has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

JS Real regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If JS Real fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if JS Real fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in JS Real fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

JS Real Lagged Returns

When evaluating JS Real's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of JS Real fund have on its future price. JS Real autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, JS Real autocorrelation shows the relationship between JS Real fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in JS Real Estate.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in JSRE11 Fund

JS Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether JSRE11 Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JSRE11 with respect to the benefits of owning JS Real security.
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