Juniper Hotels (India) Market Value

JUNIPER Stock   311.40  1.95  0.62%   
Juniper Hotels' market value is the price at which a share of Juniper Hotels trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Juniper Hotels investors about its performance. Juniper Hotels is selling at 311.40 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.62 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 306.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Juniper Hotels and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Juniper Hotels over a given investment horizon. Check out Juniper Hotels Correlation, Juniper Hotels Volatility and Juniper Hotels Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Juniper Hotels.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Juniper Hotels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Juniper Hotels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Juniper Hotels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Juniper Hotels 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Juniper Hotels' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Juniper Hotels.
0.00
10/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Juniper Hotels on October 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Juniper Hotels or generate 0.0% return on investment in Juniper Hotels over 30 days. Juniper Hotels is related to or competes with Shyam Metalics, Sintex Plastics, Transport, Alkali Metals, Hilton Metal, Modi Rubber, and Sonata Software. Juniper Hotels is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Juniper Hotels Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Juniper Hotels' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Juniper Hotels upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Juniper Hotels Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Juniper Hotels' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Juniper Hotels' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Juniper Hotels historical prices to predict the future Juniper Hotels' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
306.40308.39342.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
296.95298.94342.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
319.86321.85323.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
299.75348.12396.50
Details

Juniper Hotels Backtested Returns

Juniper Hotels holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.15, which attests that the entity had a -0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Juniper Hotels exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Juniper Hotels' Standard Deviation of 2.04, risk adjusted performance of (0.10), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.87) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.33, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Juniper Hotels' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Juniper Hotels is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Juniper Hotels has a negative expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to check out Juniper Hotels' total risk alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Juniper Hotels performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.10  

Insignificant predictability

Juniper Hotels has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Juniper Hotels time series from 24th of October 2024 to 8th of November 2024 and 8th of November 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Juniper Hotels price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Juniper Hotels price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test-0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance113.42

Juniper Hotels lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Juniper Hotels stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Juniper Hotels' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Juniper Hotels returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Juniper Hotels has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Juniper Hotels regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Juniper Hotels stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Juniper Hotels stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Juniper Hotels stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Juniper Hotels Lagged Returns

When evaluating Juniper Hotels' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Juniper Hotels stock have on its future price. Juniper Hotels autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Juniper Hotels autocorrelation shows the relationship between Juniper Hotels stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Juniper Hotels.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Juniper Stock Analysis

When running Juniper Hotels' price analysis, check to measure Juniper Hotels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Juniper Hotels is operating at the current time. Most of Juniper Hotels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Juniper Hotels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Juniper Hotels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Juniper Hotels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.