Kopernik International Fund Market Value

KGIRX Fund  USD 13.93  0.05  0.36%   
Kopernik International's market value is the price at which a share of Kopernik International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kopernik International investors about its performance. Kopernik International is trading at 13.93 as of the 24th of November 2024; that is 0.36 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.98.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kopernik International and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kopernik International over a given investment horizon. Check out Kopernik International Correlation, Kopernik International Volatility and Kopernik International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kopernik International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kopernik International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kopernik International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kopernik International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kopernik International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kopernik International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kopernik International.
0.00
11/30/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
11/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kopernik International on November 30, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kopernik International or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kopernik International over 360 days. Kopernik International is related to or competes with Western Asset, Ab Bond, Federated Hermes, Atac Inflation, Deutsche Global, Short Duration, and Vy(r) Blackrock. The fund, under normal market conditions, will invest primarily in equity securities of companies located throughout the... More

Kopernik International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kopernik International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kopernik International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kopernik International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kopernik International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kopernik International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kopernik International historical prices to predict the future Kopernik International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.2213.9314.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.2813.9914.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.2513.9614.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.9013.9513.99
Details

Kopernik International Backtested Returns

Kopernik International has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0318, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0318% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Kopernik International exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Kopernik International's Downside Deviation of 0.8301, mean deviation of 0.5656, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0022 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.12, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Kopernik International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kopernik International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

Kopernik International has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kopernik International time series from 30th of November 2023 to 28th of May 2024 and 28th of May 2024 to 24th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kopernik International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Kopernik International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

Kopernik International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kopernik International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kopernik International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kopernik International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kopernik International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kopernik International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kopernik International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kopernik International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kopernik International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kopernik International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kopernik International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kopernik International mutual fund have on its future price. Kopernik International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kopernik International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kopernik International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kopernik International.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Kopernik Mutual Fund

Kopernik International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kopernik Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kopernik with respect to the benefits of owning Kopernik International security.
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