LEWAG HOLDING (Germany) Market Value

KGR Stock  EUR 11.50  0.50  4.55%   
LEWAG HOLDING's market value is the price at which a share of LEWAG HOLDING trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of LEWAG HOLDING AG investors about its performance. LEWAG HOLDING is trading at 11.50 as of the 1st of December 2024, a 4.55 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 11.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of LEWAG HOLDING AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in LEWAG HOLDING over a given investment horizon. Check out LEWAG HOLDING Correlation, LEWAG HOLDING Volatility and LEWAG HOLDING Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on LEWAG HOLDING.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between LEWAG HOLDING's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LEWAG HOLDING is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LEWAG HOLDING's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

LEWAG HOLDING 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to LEWAG HOLDING's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of LEWAG HOLDING.
0.00
09/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in LEWAG HOLDING on September 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding LEWAG HOLDING AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in LEWAG HOLDING over 90 days. LEWAG HOLDING is related to or competes with Mobilezone Holding, Iridium Communications, Perseus Mining, Singapore Telecommunicatio, SBA Communications, Zijin Mining, and Gamma Communications. More

LEWAG HOLDING Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure LEWAG HOLDING's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess LEWAG HOLDING AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

LEWAG HOLDING Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for LEWAG HOLDING's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as LEWAG HOLDING's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use LEWAG HOLDING historical prices to predict the future LEWAG HOLDING's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9211.5013.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9511.5313.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.9411.5213.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.6311.4012.17
Details

LEWAG HOLDING AG Backtested Returns

LEWAG HOLDING AG has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0641, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0641% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. LEWAG HOLDING exposes twenty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify LEWAG HOLDING's Mean Deviation of 0.4698, risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 5.63 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0198, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning LEWAG HOLDING are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, LEWAG HOLDING is likely to outperform the market. At this point, LEWAG HOLDING AG has a negative expected return of -0.1%. Please make sure to verify LEWAG HOLDING's rate of daily change, day typical price, and the relationship between the daily balance of power and day median price , to decide if LEWAG HOLDING AG performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.20  

Weak predictability

LEWAG HOLDING AG has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between LEWAG HOLDING time series from 2nd of September 2024 to 17th of October 2024 and 17th of October 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of LEWAG HOLDING AG price movement. The serial correlation of 0.2 indicates that over 20.0% of current LEWAG HOLDING price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.2
Spearman Rank Test-0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.21

LEWAG HOLDING AG lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is LEWAG HOLDING stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting LEWAG HOLDING's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of LEWAG HOLDING returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that LEWAG HOLDING has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

LEWAG HOLDING regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If LEWAG HOLDING stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if LEWAG HOLDING stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in LEWAG HOLDING stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

LEWAG HOLDING Lagged Returns

When evaluating LEWAG HOLDING's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of LEWAG HOLDING stock have on its future price. LEWAG HOLDING autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, LEWAG HOLDING autocorrelation shows the relationship between LEWAG HOLDING stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in LEWAG HOLDING AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in LEWAG Stock

LEWAG HOLDING financial ratios help investors to determine whether LEWAG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LEWAG with respect to the benefits of owning LEWAG HOLDING security.