Keeley Mid Cap Fund Market Value
| KMDVX Fund | USD 33.80 0.44 1.32% |
| Symbol | Keeley |
Keeley Mid 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Keeley Mid's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Keeley Mid.
| 08/25/2024 |
| 11/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Keeley Mid on August 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Keeley Mid Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Keeley Mid over 90 days. Keeley Mid is related to or competes with Victory Sycamore, Columbia Select, Boston Trust, Bny Mellon, and Victory Integrity. The Adviser intends to pursue its investment objective by investing in equity securities of companies with a mid-size ma... More
Keeley Mid Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Keeley Mid's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Keeley Mid Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.7242 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0463 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.26 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.64 |
Keeley Mid Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Keeley Mid's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Keeley Mid's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Keeley Mid historical prices to predict the future Keeley Mid's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1431 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0309 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0153 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0606 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1487 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Keeley Mid's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Keeley Mid Cap Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Keeley Mutual Fund to be very steady. Keeley Mid Cap has Sharpe Ratio of 0.16, which conveys that the entity had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Keeley Mid, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Keeley Mid's Downside Deviation of 0.7242, mean deviation of 0.6787, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1431 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.11, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Keeley Mid returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Keeley Mid is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | 0.52 |
Modest predictability
Keeley Mid Cap has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Keeley Mid time series from 25th of August 2024 to 9th of October 2024 and 9th of October 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Keeley Mid Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Keeley Mid price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.52 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.49 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.39 |
Keeley Mid Cap lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Keeley Mid mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Keeley Mid's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Keeley Mid returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Keeley Mid has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Keeley Mid regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Keeley Mid mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Keeley Mid mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Keeley Mid mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Keeley Mid Lagged Returns
When evaluating Keeley Mid's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Keeley Mid mutual fund have on its future price. Keeley Mid autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Keeley Mid autocorrelation shows the relationship between Keeley Mid mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Keeley Mid Cap.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Keeley Mutual Fund
Keeley Mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Keeley Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Keeley with respect to the benefits of owning Keeley Mid security.
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