Deutsche Global Income Fund Market Value

KTRAX Fund  USD 10.08  0.02  0.20%   
Deutsche Global's market value is the price at which a share of Deutsche Global trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Deutsche Global Income investors about its performance. Deutsche Global is trading at 10.08 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.20% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 10.06.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Deutsche Global Income and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Deutsche Global over a given investment horizon. Check out Deutsche Global Correlation, Deutsche Global Volatility and Deutsche Global Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Deutsche Global.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Deutsche Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deutsche Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deutsche Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Deutsche Global 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Deutsche Global's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Deutsche Global.
0.00
12/04/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Deutsche Global on December 4, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Deutsche Global Income or generate 0.0% return on investment in Deutsche Global over 720 days. Deutsche Global is related to or competes with Deutsche Gnma, Deutsche Short-term, Deutsche Short, Deutsche Science, Deutsche Science, Deutsche Science, and Deutsche Science. The fund can invest in securities of any size, investment style category, maturity, duration or credit quality including... More

Deutsche Global Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Deutsche Global's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Deutsche Global Income upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Deutsche Global Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Deutsche Global's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Deutsche Global's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Deutsche Global historical prices to predict the future Deutsche Global's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.6410.0810.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.6310.0710.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.539.9710.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0510.0710.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Deutsche Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Deutsche Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Deutsche Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Deutsche Global Income.

Deutsche Global Income Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Deutsche Mutual Fund to be very steady. Deutsche Global Income secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0125, which denotes the fund had a 0.0125% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Deutsche Global Income, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Deutsche Global's Mean Deviation of 0.3439, coefficient of variation of 3102.08, and Downside Deviation of 0.4631 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0056%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.38, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Deutsche Global's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Deutsche Global is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.50  

Modest predictability

Deutsche Global Income has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Deutsche Global time series from 4th of December 2022 to 29th of November 2023 and 29th of November 2023 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Deutsche Global Income price movement. The serial correlation of 0.5 indicates that about 50.0% of current Deutsche Global price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.5
Spearman Rank Test0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.16

Deutsche Global Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Deutsche Global mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Deutsche Global's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Deutsche Global returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Deutsche Global has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Deutsche Global regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Deutsche Global mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Deutsche Global mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Deutsche Global mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Deutsche Global Lagged Returns

When evaluating Deutsche Global's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Deutsche Global mutual fund have on its future price. Deutsche Global autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Deutsche Global autocorrelation shows the relationship between Deutsche Global mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Deutsche Global Income.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Deutsche Mutual Fund

Deutsche Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deutsche Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deutsche with respect to the benefits of owning Deutsche Global security.
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