Thrivent Income Fund Market Value

LBIIX Fund  USD 8.19  0.07  0.86%   
Thrivent Income's market value is the price at which a share of Thrivent Income trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Thrivent Income Fund investors about its performance. Thrivent Income is trading at 8.19 as of the 26th of November 2024; that is 0.86 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.12.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Thrivent Income Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Thrivent Income over a given investment horizon. Check out Thrivent Income Correlation, Thrivent Income Volatility and Thrivent Income Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Thrivent Income.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Thrivent Income's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thrivent Income is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thrivent Income's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Thrivent Income 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thrivent Income's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thrivent Income.
0.00
10/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/26/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Thrivent Income on October 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thrivent Income Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thrivent Income over 30 days. Thrivent Income is related to or competes with Us Government, John Hancock, Us Government, Vanguard Short-term, Inverse Government, Us Government, and Short-term Government. The principal strategies of the fund are to invest in investment-grade corporate bonds, government bonds, asset-backed s... More

Thrivent Income Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thrivent Income's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thrivent Income Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Thrivent Income Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thrivent Income's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thrivent Income's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thrivent Income historical prices to predict the future Thrivent Income's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.918.198.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.728.008.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.858.138.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.078.148.20
Details

Thrivent Income Backtested Returns

Thrivent Income owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0048, which indicates the fund had a -0.0048% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Thrivent Income Fund exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Thrivent Income's Coefficient Of Variation of (5,910), risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Variance of 0.0906 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0375, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Thrivent Income are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Thrivent Income is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.07  

Virtually no predictability

Thrivent Income Fund has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thrivent Income time series from 27th of October 2024 to 11th of November 2024 and 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thrivent Income price movement. The serial correlation of 0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Thrivent Income price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.07
Spearman Rank Test-0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Thrivent Income lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Thrivent Income mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thrivent Income's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thrivent Income returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thrivent Income has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Thrivent Income regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thrivent Income mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thrivent Income mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thrivent Income mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Thrivent Income Lagged Returns

When evaluating Thrivent Income's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thrivent Income mutual fund have on its future price. Thrivent Income autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thrivent Income autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thrivent Income mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thrivent Income Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Thrivent Mutual Fund

Thrivent Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thrivent Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thrivent with respect to the benefits of owning Thrivent Income security.
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