Leader Total Return Fund Market Value

LCTIX Fund  USD 11.16  0.01  0.09%   
Leader Total's market value is the price at which a share of Leader Total trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Leader Total Return investors about its performance. Leader Total is trading at 11.16 as of the 23rd of November 2024; that is 0.09 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 11.17.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Leader Total Return and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Leader Total over a given investment horizon. Check out Leader Total Correlation, Leader Total Volatility and Leader Total Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Leader Total.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Leader Total's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Leader Total is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Leader Total's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Leader Total 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Leader Total's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Leader Total.
0.00
05/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Leader Total on May 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Leader Total Return or generate 0.0% return on investment in Leader Total over 180 days. Leader Total is related to or competes with Leader Total, Leader Short-term, Leader Short-term, Leader Total, and . Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any amount of borrowings for in... More

Leader Total Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Leader Total's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Leader Total Return upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Leader Total Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Leader Total's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Leader Total's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Leader Total historical prices to predict the future Leader Total's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0311.1611.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1210.2512.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.0311.1511.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.1511.1611.17
Details

Leader Total Return Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Leader Mutual Fund to be very steady. Leader Total Return has Sharpe Ratio of 0.2, which conveys that the entity had a 0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Leader Total, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Leader Total's Coefficient Of Variation of 507.45, risk adjusted performance of 0.1, and Mean Deviation of 0.063 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0255%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0223, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Leader Total are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Leader Total is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.84  

Very good predictability

Leader Total Return has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Leader Total time series from 27th of May 2024 to 25th of August 2024 and 25th of August 2024 to 23rd of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Leader Total Return price movement. The serial correlation of 0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current Leader Total price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.84
Spearman Rank Test0.88
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Leader Total Return lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Leader Total mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Leader Total's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Leader Total returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Leader Total has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Leader Total regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Leader Total mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Leader Total mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Leader Total mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Leader Total Lagged Returns

When evaluating Leader Total's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Leader Total mutual fund have on its future price. Leader Total autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Leader Total autocorrelation shows the relationship between Leader Total mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Leader Total Return.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Leader Mutual Fund

Leader Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether Leader Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Leader with respect to the benefits of owning Leader Total security.
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