Logintrade (Poland) Market Value

LGT Stock   3.56  0.04  1.11%   
Logintrade's market value is the price at which a share of Logintrade trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Logintrade SA investors about its performance. Logintrade is selling at 3.56 as of the 23rd of January 2025; that is 1.11% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 3.56.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Logintrade SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Logintrade over a given investment horizon. Check out Logintrade Correlation, Logintrade Volatility and Logintrade Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Logintrade.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Logintrade's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Logintrade is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Logintrade's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Logintrade 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Logintrade's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Logintrade.
0.00
12/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
01/23/2025
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Logintrade on December 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Logintrade SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Logintrade over 30 days. Logintrade is related to or competes with MW Trade, X Trade, GreenX Metals, LSI Software, and Santander Bank. More

Logintrade Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Logintrade's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Logintrade SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Logintrade Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Logintrade's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Logintrade's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Logintrade historical prices to predict the future Logintrade's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Logintrade's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.183.567.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.152.927.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.437.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.253.634.01
Details

Logintrade SA Backtested Returns

Logintrade appears to be risky, given 3 months investment horizon. Logintrade SA has Sharpe Ratio of 0.11, which conveys that the firm had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Logintrade, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Logintrade's Mean Deviation of 3.03, downside deviation of 4.12, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0954 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Logintrade holds a performance score of 8. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.45, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Logintrade's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Logintrade is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Logintrade's jensen alpha, semi variance, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Logintrade's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.31  

Below average predictability

Logintrade SA has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Logintrade time series from 24th of December 2024 to 8th of January 2025 and 8th of January 2025 to 23rd of January 2025. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Logintrade SA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.31 indicates that nearly 31.0% of current Logintrade price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.31
Spearman Rank Test0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Logintrade SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Logintrade stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Logintrade's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Logintrade returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Logintrade has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Logintrade regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Logintrade stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Logintrade stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Logintrade stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Logintrade Lagged Returns

When evaluating Logintrade's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Logintrade stock have on its future price. Logintrade autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Logintrade autocorrelation shows the relationship between Logintrade stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Logintrade SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Logintrade

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Logintrade position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Logintrade will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Logintrade Stock

  0.72CEZ CEZ asPairCorr
  0.77DNP Dino Polska SAPairCorr

Moving against Logintrade Stock

  0.83ALE Allegroeu SAPairCorr
  0.83KGH KGHM Polska MiedzPairCorr
  0.79PCR PCC Rokita SAPairCorr
  0.63PKN Polski Koncern NaftowyPairCorr
  0.56PCO Pepco Group BVPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Logintrade could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Logintrade when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Logintrade - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Logintrade SA to buy it.
The correlation of Logintrade is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Logintrade moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Logintrade SA moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Logintrade can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Logintrade Stock Analysis

When running Logintrade's price analysis, check to measure Logintrade's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Logintrade is operating at the current time. Most of Logintrade's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Logintrade's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Logintrade's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Logintrade to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.