Mfs Servative Allocation Fund Market Value

MACIX Fund  USD 17.73  0.06  0.34%   
Mfs Servative's market value is the price at which a share of Mfs Servative trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mfs Servative Allocation investors about its performance. Mfs Servative is trading at 17.73 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.34 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 17.67.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mfs Servative Allocation and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mfs Servative over a given investment horizon. Check out Mfs Servative Correlation, Mfs Servative Volatility and Mfs Servative Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mfs Servative.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mfs Servative's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mfs Servative is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mfs Servative's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mfs Servative 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mfs Servative's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mfs Servative.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mfs Servative on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mfs Servative Allocation or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mfs Servative over 30 days. Mfs Servative is related to or competes with Prudential Government, Government Securities, Virtus Seix, Lord Abbett, Blackrock, and Us Government. The fund is designed to provide diversification among different asset classes by investing its assets in other mutual fu... More

Mfs Servative Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mfs Servative's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mfs Servative Allocation upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mfs Servative Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mfs Servative's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mfs Servative's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mfs Servative historical prices to predict the future Mfs Servative's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.4617.7318.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.4017.6717.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.5217.7918.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.3917.5917.80
Details

Mfs Servative Allocation Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Mfs Mutual Fund to be very steady. Mfs Servative Allocation has Sharpe Ratio of 0.13, which conveys that the entity had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Mfs Servative, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Mfs Servative's Mean Deviation of 0.2215, downside deviation of 0.3011, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0615 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0351%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.26, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mfs Servative's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mfs Servative is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.70  

Good predictability

Mfs Servative Allocation has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mfs Servative time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mfs Servative Allocation price movement. The serial correlation of 0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Mfs Servative price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.7
Spearman Rank Test0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Mfs Servative Allocation lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mfs Servative mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mfs Servative's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mfs Servative returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mfs Servative has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mfs Servative regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mfs Servative mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mfs Servative mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mfs Servative mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mfs Servative Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mfs Servative's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mfs Servative mutual fund have on its future price. Mfs Servative autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mfs Servative autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mfs Servative mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mfs Servative Allocation.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mfs Mutual Fund

Mfs Servative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mfs Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mfs with respect to the benefits of owning Mfs Servative security.
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